Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
6:1
05/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 2
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 2, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Premier Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, Hulu
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2834
Shots off target
813
Shooting PCT
21.43% (6/28)2.94% (1/34)
Blocked shots
516
Goalkeeper Saves
3322
Saves PCT
97.06% (33/34)78.57% (22/28)
Penalties
1919
PIM
8471
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
5.26% (1/19)5.26% (1/19)
Pen. Killing PCT
94.74% (18/19)94.74% (18/19)
Hits
3316
Faceoffs Won
2531
Faceoffs %
44.6455.36
Giveaways
1816
Takeaways
53
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 02:08, 1 - 0, Hagel B. (G), Hedman V. (A),
  • 14:08, 2 - 0, Girgensons Z. (G), Holmberg P. (A), Gourde Y. (A2)
  • 15:14, Kucherov N. (2 min),
  • 15:50, Girgensons Z. (2 min),
  • 18:58, James D. (2 min),
  • 18:58, Goncalves G. (2 min),
  • 18:58, Boqvist J. (2 min),
  • 18:58, Samoskevich M. (2 min),
  • 20:00, Tkachuk M. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:14, 3 - 0, Guentzel J. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 10:48, Lundell A. (2 min),
  • 14:20, Kucherov N. (2 min),
  • 16:06, Hedman V. (2 min),
  • 16:06, Moser J.J. (2 min),
  • 16:06, Bennett S. (2 min),
  • 16:06, Tkachuk M. (2 min),
  • 17:50, 4 - 0, Cernak E. (G), McDonagh R. (A), James D. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 04:06, Tkachuk M. (5 min),
  • 04:06, Mikkola N. (2 min),
  • 04:06, Tkachuk M. (2 min),
  • 04:06, Bennett S. (10 min),
  • 04:06, Verhaeghe C. (10 min),
  • 04:06, Sebrango D. (10 min),
  • 04:06, Kucherov N. (10 min),
  • 04:06, Guentzel J. (10 min),
  • 04:06, Raddysh D. (10 min),
  • 04:06, Gourde Y. (10 min),
  • 04:06, Moser J.J. (5 min),
  • 06:09, 5 - 0, Holmberg P. (G), Goncalves G. (A), Bjorkstrand O. (A2)
  • 06:09, Tarasov D. ↓, Bobrovsky S. ↑,
  • 06:33, Douglas C. (5 min),
  • 06:33, Douglas C. (10 min),
  • 09:50, 5 - 1, Samoskevich M. (G), Boqvist J. (A), Lundell A. (A2)
  • 15:41, 6 - 1, Bjorkstrand O. (G),
  • 16:05, Carlile D. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
51.8%		Draw
22%		Florida Panthers
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 22.1% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 23% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Florida Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Panthers than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
    •

    Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.85 ↓
    (1.96)    		 4.33 ↑
    (4.27)    		 3.55 ↑
    (3.18)    		 5.2%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Florida will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 51.5% – 92.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • H/A, 3rd Period - Tampa Bay (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Period - Tampa Bay (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5, 3rd Period - Tampa Bay (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5, 1st Period - Tampa Bay (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Tampa Bay (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Florida (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
    • Tampa Bay is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Florida's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cirelli A. (Injury) D'Astous C. (Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) Paul N. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Florida: Barkov A. (Knee Injury) Gadjovich J. (Upper-Body Injury) Jones S. (Upper-Body Injury) Kulikov D. (Wrist Injury) Marchand B. (Injury) Nosek T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Point B. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 60:64. (average 3:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:40. (average 3.4:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers were as follows:
    27.12.2025 Florida Panthers - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:4
    15.12.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers 2:5
    15.11.2025 Florida Panthers - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:3
    04.10.2025 Florida Panthers - Tampa Bay Lightning 7:0
    02.10.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers 5:2
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    03.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 4:3 ✺
    01.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins 6:5 ✺
    29.01.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets 4:1 ✺
    26.01.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Utah Mammoth 2:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Columbus Blue Jackets - Tampa Bay Lightning 8:5 ✺
    Latest results of Florida Panthers
    04.02.2026 Florida Panthers - Boston Bruins 5:4 ✺
    02.02.2026 Florida Panthers - Buffalo Sabres 3:5 ✺
    31.01.2026 Florida Panthers - Winnipeg Jets 1:2 ✺
    29.01.2026 St. Louis Blues - Florida Panthers 5:4 ✺
    27.01.2026 Florida Panthers - Utah Mammoth 3:4 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche60383910230:14991
    2Dallas Stars61317914212:16585
    3Minnesota Wild6223131016209:18082
    4Vegas Golden Knights622181419205:19772
    5Anaheim Ducks612014324205:21271
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers62228824220:21068
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
    9San Jose Sharks591812425186:20764
    10Nashville Predators62217826185:21364
    11Los Angeles Kings601591422155:17962
    12Winnipeg Jets612141026175:18760
    13Chicago Blackhawks611851028163:19556
    14St. Louis Blues61221929159:21055
    15Calgary Flames61204730150:18555
    16Vancouver Canucks61126736157:23043


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes612910616214:17584
    2Tampa Bay Lightning60299418211:16280
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings622411720185:18777
    5Montreal Canadiens602211918213:20075
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders622312522183:17775
    8Boston Bruins61268522205:19473
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Ottawa Senators61246922205:19469
    11Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    14New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    15Florida Panthers62246329188:20963
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

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