Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
05/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3027
Shots off target
1416
Shooting PCT
13.33% (4/30)3.7% (1/27)
Blocked shots
1715
Goalkeeper Saves
2626
Saves PCT
96.3% (26/27)86.67% (26/30)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)50% (1/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (1/2)100% (2/2)
Hits
2423
Faceoffs Won
3427
Faceoffs %
55.7444.26
Giveaways
1717
Takeaways
81
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 02:14, Cirelli A. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 00:40, Hellebuyck C. (2 min),
  • 12:57, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 15:31, 1 - 0, Barron M. (G), Koepke C. (A), Pearson T. (A2)
  • 19:42, 2 - 0, Scheifele M. (G), Iafallo A. (A), Connor K. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 01:45, Salomonsson E. (2 min),
  • 01:52, 2 - 1, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 05:34, 3 - 1, Nyquist G. (G), Toews J. (A), Pearson T. (A2)
  • 17:59, 4 - 1, Connor K. (G), Scheifele M. (A), Iafallo A. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Winnipeg Jets
27%
Draw
22.3%
Tampa Bay Lightning
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 22.5% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 21.6% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Winnipeg Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winnipeg Jets than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.46
    (3.06)
    4.21
    (4.31)
    1.86
    (2.12)
    6.5%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Winnipeg will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 45%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5, OT - Tampa Bay (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Tampa Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Winnipeg: Miller C. (Knee Injury) Morrissey J. (Upper-Body Injury) Namestnikov V. (Lower-Body Injury) Niederreiter N. (Lower-Body Injury) Pionk N. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves G. (Injury) James D. (Leg Injury) Paul N. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 69:74. (average 3.5:3.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Winnipeg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 3.9:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    29.01.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets 4:1
    14.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets 4:1
    03.11.2024 Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning 7:4
    02.01.2024 Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:2
    22.11.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets 2:3
    Latest results of Winnipeg Jets
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Los Angeles Kings (8)4 : 0
    2Dallas Stars (2)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 2
    3Vegas Golden Knights (4)Utah Mammoth (6)2 : 2
    4Edmonton Oilers (5)Anaheim Ducks (7)1 : 3
    5Carolina Hurricanes (1)Ottawa Senators (6)4 : 0
    6Pittsburgh Penguins (7)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 3
    7Buffalo Sabres (2)Boston Bruins (5)3 : 1
    8Tampa Bay Lightning (3)Montreal Canadiens (4)2 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Carolina Hurricanes (1)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2