Result
2:1
05/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 28
- Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
Chances of winning
SPAL
32.4% | Draw
31.5% | Cittadella
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
SPAL - Cittadella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↑
(2.67) |
2.97 ↑
(2.93) |
2.61 ↓
(2.77) |
6.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for SPAL - Cittadella?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Cittadella will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (21.88%), has project points - 38, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (72%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Cittadella has the most likely position - 13 (11.1%), has project points - 48, has currently - 34, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 28, importance 38, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1.
- SPAL has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Cittadella is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches SPAL won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Cittadella?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against SPAL?
Cittadella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Cittadella were as follows:
15.10.2022
Cittadella
-
SPAL
0:0
Latest results of Cittadella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 52:28 | 24 | 55 |
| 4 | Palermo | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 48:22 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 32:32 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Empoli | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Bari | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 28 |
| 18 | Mantova | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 20 | Pescara | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 34:54 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
