Fiorentina vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence).

ITALY: Serie A - Round 27
Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	ICE Sports
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.67	0.77
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Goal Attempts
10	8
Shots on Goal
3	3
Shots off Goal
5	2
Blocked Shots
2	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
Free Kicks
12	10
Offsides
5	0
Fouls
10	12
Yellow Cards
3	2
Throw-ins
20	15
Touches in the Opposition Box
12	18
Passes
77% (317/413)	80% (361/454)
Passes in the final third
52% (48/92)	57% (59/103)
Crosses
29% (7/24)	26% (6/23)
Tackles
43% (3/7)	50% (5/10)
Clearances Total
36	25
Interceptions
8	10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Gosens R. ⚽, Dodo (A),
17', Beltran L. 🟨,
45+2', Berisha M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Gallo A. 🟨,
61', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
64', Gallo A. ↓, Sala M. ↑,
64', Berisha M. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
64', Karlsson J. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
69', Cataldi D. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
73', Beltran L. (Pen),
81', Pongracic M. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
86', Guilbert F. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
86', Mandragora R. 🟨,
87', Dodo ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
88', Zaniolo N. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fiorentina
50.8%

Draw
29.4%

Lecce
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.2%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

24.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Fiorentina - Lecce Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.68)	3.28 ↓ (3.79)	4.85 ↓ (5.4)	4.2% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Lecce?

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (68 of 82 users predict this - 82.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.79% – 91.07%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
There will not play in Fiorentina: Adli Y. (Ankle Injury) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Injury) Gudmundsson A. (Back Injury) Richardson A. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Lecce: Banda L. (Broken ankle) Gonzalez J. (Chest Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Folorunsho M. (Injury) Kean M. (Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:8 (average 2:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Lecce?

Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Fiorentina?

Lecce has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Lecce were as follows:

20.10.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 0:6

02.02.2024 Lecce - Fiorentina 3:2

27.08.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 2:2

19.03.2023 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0

17.10.2022 Lecce - Fiorentina 1:1

Latest results of Fiorentina

23.02.2025 Verona - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺

16.02.2025 Fiorentina - Como 0:2 ✺

10.02.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺

06.02.2025 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 3:0 ✺

02.02.2025 Fiorentina - Genoa 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Lecce

21.02.2025 Lecce - Udinese 0:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Monza - Lecce 0:0 ✺

09.02.2025 Lecce - Bologna 0:0 ✺

31.01.2025 Parma - Lecce 1:3 ✺

26.01.2025 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:4 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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      Relegation ~ Serie B