Result
0:2
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 24
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (174/303) | 48% (137/288) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (174/303) | 48% (137/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 18% (16/87) | 24% (22/92) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (68/125) | 48% (63/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/34) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Turnbull J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', O'Connor A. 🟨,
- 55', Fox B. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
- 67', Cass L. ↓, Asare Z. ↑,
- 70', Turnbull J. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, Norman C. ⚽,
- 86', Finley S. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
- 87', Muldoon J. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
- 90', Whitaker C. ↓, Blacker B. ↑,
- 90', Ironside J. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
- 90', Dennis K. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
- 90+1', Morris B. 🟨,
- 90+2', 0 - 2, Norman C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town 27.7% | Draw 27.2% | Tranmere Rovers 45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Harrogate Town - Tranmere Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.35 ↑ (2.9) |
3.41 ↑ (3.25) |
2.07 ↓ (2.28) |
7.5% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Tranmere Rovers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tranmere Rovers will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1.
- Harrogate has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tranmere has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tranmere will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
Thomson G.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Tranmere: Lowe J.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Patrick O.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Muldoon J.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Tranmere Rovers?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Harrogate Town?
Tranmere Rovers has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
01.04.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
3:2
14.12.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Harrogate Town
2:1
29.12.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
0:2
15.08.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Harrogate Town
3:0
31.03.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Harrogate Town
1:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League