Result
1:2
18/01/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 23
- Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (390/487) | 75% (276/370) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 56 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (390/487) | 75% (276/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (31/57) | 41% (32/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (140/198) | 59% (55/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Silva Timas I. ⚽, Breugelmans I. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Sille G. ⚽, Monzialo K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sille G. ↓, de Vries J. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 2, Braken S. ⚽, Silva Timas I. (A),
- 68', Semedo E. ↓, Verbeek D. ↑,
- 68', van Leeuwen T. ↓, Karlsson Grach S. ↑,
- 73', Silva Timas I. ↓, Kuipers M. ↑,
- 80', Braken S. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 80', Klaasen R. ↓, El Basri N. ↑,
- 80', Akmum R. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
- 90+1', Coomans W. 🟨,
- 90+1', Asante D. ↓, Sy K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Den Bosch
62.2% | Draw
21.4% | MVV Maastricht
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+1%)
Den Bosch - MVV Maastricht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.56) |
4.3 ↑
(4.15) |
5.58 ↑
(5.32) |
8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Den Bosch - MVV Maastricht?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Den Bosch will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Den Bosch has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Den Bosch is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 2.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against MVV Maastricht?
Den Bosch has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Den Bosch?
MVV Maastricht has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Den Bosch - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
16.09.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
Den Bosch
2:4
18.01.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
Den Bosch
5:0
30.10.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Den Bosch
2:1
23.08.2024
Den Bosch
-
MVV Maastricht
1:1
23.03.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Den Bosch
1:0
Latest results of Den Bosch
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 36 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 82:35 | 47 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 72:44 | 28 | 75 |
| 3 | Willem II | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 54:41 | 13 | 62 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 71:56 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Almere City | 36 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 73:59 | 14 | 55 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 66:53 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Roda | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 54 |
| 8 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 61:61 | 0 | 50 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 50:66 | -16 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 47:55 | -8 | 42 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 55:70 | -15 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 37 |
| 18 | Helmond | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
