Olympique Marseille vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
3:1
24/01/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 19
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Variety 4, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 3
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic, TV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 4
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 4
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.880.92
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
52
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
22
Passes
89% (497/558)87% (409/471)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
0.880.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.150.90
Total shots
107
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
22
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
45
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free kicks
1618
Passes
89% (497/558)87% (409/471)
Long passes
49% (21/43)47% (16/34)
Passes in final third
68% (56/82)73% (83/114)
Crosses
20% (1/5)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.56
Throw ins
1110
Fouls
1816
Tackles
60% (9/15)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4549
Clearances
226
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.902.15
Goals prevented
-0.10-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Gouiri A. ⚽, Paixao I. (A),
  • 13', 2 - 0, Nwaneri E. ⚽, Hojbjerg P. (A),
  • 37', Said W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Nwaneri E. ↓, Greenwood M. ↑,
  • 59', Edouard O. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
  • 61', Sangare M. 🟨,
  • 70', Thauvin F. 🟨,
  • 71', Said W. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
  • 72', Thomasson A. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
  • 74', Aguerd N. ↓, Pavard B. ↑,
  • 74', Traore H. J. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
  • 74', Timber Q. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Gouiri A. ⚽, Weah T. (A),
  • 78', Aguilar R. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
  • 78', Thauvin F. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
  • 80', Gouiri A. ↓, Aubameyang P. ↑,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Fofana R. ⚽, Sangare M. (A),

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
46%		Draw
25.5%		Lens
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 24.8% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 27% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
    •

    Olympique Marseille - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.08 ↑
    (1.93)    		 3.74 ↓
    (3.82)    		 3.36 ↓
    (3.61)    		 4.7%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 26 - 57.8%). Lens will win (votes: 11 - 24.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 43.4% – 72.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Lens (3.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Lens (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Lens (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 2.
    • Recent performances by Marseille have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lens is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Marseille could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Emerson (Thigh Injury) Gomes A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Lens: Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury) Haidara A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Jhoanner Chavez (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Rest)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Lens were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Lens - Olympique Marseille 2:1
    08.03.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lens 0:1
    23.11.2024 Lens - Olympique Marseille 1:3
    28.04.2024 Olympique Marseille - Lens 2:1
    12.11.2023 Lens - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    21.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Liverpool 0:3 ✺
    17.01.2026 Angers - Olympique Marseille 2:5 ✺
    13.01.2026 Bayeux - Olympique Marseille 0:9 ✺
    08.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille 3:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Nantes 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Lens
    17.01.2026 Lens - Auxerre 1:0 ✺
    11.01.2026 Sochaux - Lens 0:3 ✺
    02.01.2026 Toulouse - Lens 0:3 ✺
    19.12.2025 Lens - Feignies Aulnoye 3:1 ✺
    14.12.2025 Lens - Nice 2:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG26193458:223660
    2Lens27192654:243059
    3Marseille27154854:351949
    4Lyon27145841:291247
    5Lille27145842:34847
    6Monaco27144947:38946
    7Rennes27128743:37644
    8Strasbourg27117943:331040
    9Toulouse271071038:32637
    10Lorient27910837:41-437
    11Brest271061134:39-536
    12Angers27951324:37-1332
    13Paris FC277101032:43-1131
    14Le Havre27691222:35-1327
    15Nice27761432:52-2027
    16Auxerre27571522:36-1422
    17Nantes26451724:45-2117
    18Metz27351925:60-3514

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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