Result
1:1
09/06/2023 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
- Referee: Corbyn M. (Usa)
Chances of winning
San Diego Loyal
37.1% | Draw
27.2% | Sacramento Republic
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego Loyal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.17) |
3.36 ↓
(3.4) |
2.56 ↓
(2.93) |
9.5%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. San Diego Loyal will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 3 (15.63%), project points - 55, currently - 21, a good chance of playoffs (94%), a good chance of qtrs (51%), a chance of semis (26%), a small chance of final (13%), a small chance of win league (7%).
- Sacramento Republic has the most likely position - 1 (36.97%), project points - 62, currently - 28, a very good chance of playoffs (99%), a good chance of qtrs (64%), a chance of semis (37%), a chance of final (20%), a small chance of win league (12%).
- This event has small quality 24, small importance 10, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 2.
- Recent matches San Diego Loyal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sacramento Republic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of guest games.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
- Including matches at home between the teams San Diego Loyal won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Loyal won against Sacramento Republic?
San Diego Loyal has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against San Diego Loyal?
Sacramento Republic has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Loyal - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
25.03.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
San Diego Loyal
1:0
15.10.2022
Sacramento Republic
-
San Diego Loyal
4:0
Latest results of San Diego Loyal
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
