Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        13/07/2025 at  12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
 
                                                - Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.08 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 65% | 35% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (446/519) | 74% (203/274) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.08 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.81 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 7 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 22 | 18 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 13 | 17 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (446/519) | 74% (203/274) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 62% (34/55) | 54% (32/59) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 72% (84/117) | 57% (35/61) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 21% (3/14) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.41 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 8 | 15 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 17 | 13 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 69% (11/16) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 41 | 48 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 20 | 13 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 15 | 14 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.51 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.19 | -1.17 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
 - 4', 0 - 1, Sandoval T. ⚽, Ruidiaz R. (A), 
 - 9', 1 - 1, Avila I. ⚽, Pacheco F. (A), 
 - 45+2', Garcia B. 🟨, 
 - 45+4', Pretell J. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 0)
 - 46', Garcia B. ↓, Solis A. ↑, 
 - 46', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Rostaing J. ↑, 
 - 64', Cabellos C. ↓, Wisdom I. ↑, 
 - 67', Sandoval T. ↓, Olivares C. ↑, 
 - 72', Pacheco F. ↓, Castro M. ↑, 
 - 75', Reyes J. ↓, F. Rojas ↑, 
 - 79', Rodas E. 🟨, 
 - 83', Avila I. ↓, Moretti J. ↑, 
 - 87', de la Cruz P. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑, 
 - 88', Gonzales C. 🟨, 
 - 90+4', 2 - 1, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Pasquini N. (A), 
 - 90+5', Gonzalez S. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Sporting Cristal  57.4% | Draw  25.2% | Atlético Grau  17.4% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.61 ↑ (1.45) | 
			   3.71 ↓ (4.6) | 
			   5.53 ↓ (6.33) | 
			   7% (6.3%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            5 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Grau will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 12).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 3.
 - The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
 - Grau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - In this match, Sporting Cristal is a strong favorite.
 - There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Iberico L.
(Injury)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
 - There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
Tavara M.
(Muscle Injury)
 - There are questionable in Grau: Soto D.
(Knee Injury)
 - In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Atlético Grau?
                    
                    
                        
                            Sporting Cristal has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Sporting Cristal?
                    
                    
                        
                             Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau were as follows:
                                                        
                                11.08.2024 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                - 
                                Sporting Cristal 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                02.03.2024 
                                Sporting Cristal 
                                - 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                17.08.2023 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                - 
                                Sporting Cristal 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.03.2023 
                                Sporting Cristal 
                                - 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.10.2022 
                                Sporting Cristal 
                                - 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Sporting Cristal                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Atlético Grau                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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