Result
1:2
03/05/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 32
- Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, Tubi TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (415/472) | 87% (346/399) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (415/472) | 87% (346/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 56% (28/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (66/99) | 70% (66/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 88% (21/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', Dieme Y. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Amo-Ameyaw S. ⚽, Doukoure I. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Methalie D. ⚽, Casseres C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ouattara A. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
- 56', Methalie D. 🟨,
- 63', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Emersonn ↑,
- 63', Amougou M. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
- 71', Doukoure I. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
- 72', Dieme Y. ↓, Enciso J. ↑,
- 75', Vossah A. 🟨,
- 78', Methalie D. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
- 78', Hidalgo S. ↓, Sidibe D. ↑,
- 82', Gboho Y. ↓, Azizi I. ↑,
- 82', Vossah A. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
- 82', Nanasi S. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Emersonn ⚽, Casseres C. (A),
- 90+7', Donnum A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
32.2% | Draw
27.2% | Toulouse
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strasbourg's form might have worsened.Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strasbourg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Strasbourg - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.3) |
3.51 ↑
(3.4) |
2.35 ↓
(2.97) |
4.8%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 15 - 50%). Toulouse will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 32.1% – 67.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 3.
- Strasbourg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toulouse has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A.
(Knee Injury)
Panichelli J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Francis A.
(Broken Leg)
Magri F.
(Knee Injury)
Messali R.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Barco V.
(Ankle Injury)
Doue G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Toulouse?
Strasbourg has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Strasbourg?
Toulouse has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Toulouse were as follows:
06.12.2025
Toulouse
-
Strasbourg
1:0
12.01.2025
Toulouse
-
Strasbourg
1:2
07.04.2024
Toulouse
-
Strasbourg
0:0
27.08.2023
Strasbourg
-
Toulouse
2:0
29.01.2023
Strasbourg
-
Toulouse
1:2
Latest results of Strasbourg
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
