Ontario Reign vs Bakersfield Condors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:3
04/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3123
Shooting PCT
19.35% (6/31)13.04% (3/23)
Goalkeeper Saves
2025
Saves PCT
86.96% (20/23)83.33% (25/30)
Penalties
610
PIM
1826
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
10
Power-play PCT
10% (1/10)16.67% (1/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
83.33% (5/6)90% (9/10)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 01:47, 0 - 1, Jarventie R. (G), Howard I. (A), Hutson Q. (A2)
  • 12:01, 1 - 1, Gawdin G. (G), Guttman C. (A), Hicketts J. (A2)
  • 19:06, 1 - 2, Poulin S. (G), Petrov M. (A),
  • 2nd Period (3 - 1)
  • 01:33, 2 - 2, Lee A. (G), Pinelli F. (A), Connors K. (A2)
  • 08:07, 2 - 3, Hamblin J. (G), Dineen C. (A), Brown J. (A2)
  • 09:21, 3 - 3, Hughes J. (G), Connors K. (A),
  • 11:44, 4 - 3, Alexandrov N. (G), Brown L. (A), Hicketts J. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 02:18, 5 - 3, Brown L. (G), Pinelli F. (A),
  • 17:46, 6 - 3, Alexandrov N. (G),

Chances of winning


Ontario Reign
44.2%
Draw
22.6%
Bakersfield Condors
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 23.3% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 25.3% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ontario Reign has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Bakersfield Condors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.01)
    4.1
    (3.9)
    2.81
    (2.9)
    8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • Ontario is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ontario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ontario has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Bakersfield has had a series of home games.
    • Ontario could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 62:53. (average 3.1:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ontario won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 3.6:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors were as follows:
    01.03.2026 Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors 4:2
    07.02.2026 Ontario Reign - Bakersfield Condors 4:3
    06.02.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign 3:4
    11.01.2026 Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign 3:0
    17.12.2025 Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign 0:4
    Latest results of Bakersfield Condors
    AHL Table
    Main

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 724113216239:162110
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 72406917243:186101
    3Charlotte Checkers ✔ 71349523234:18691
    4Bridgeport Islanders72277830219:22276
    5Springfield Thunderbirds72284832207:24072
    6Hershey Bears71256931205:22671
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms712110634209:24368
    8Hartford Wolf Pack72224838190:25360


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 71438515251:153107
    2Chicago Wolves ✔ 712691521220:21785
    3Texas Stars ✔ 72289629222:22880
    4Manitoba Moose ✔ 72296829185:21678
    5Milwaukee Admirals ✔ 711913732205:21671
    6Iowa Wild72207936179:22663
    7Rockford IceHogs72208539196:24561


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign ✔ 723611520237:18799
    2Colorado Eagles ✔ 723291120237:19893
    3Henderson Silver Knights ✔ 723451221263:22590
    4Coachella Valley Firebirds ✔ 712813624233:21488
    5Bakersfield Condors ✔ 722981223244:23686
    6San Jose Barracuda ✔ 723010428243:23084
    7San Diego Gulls ✔ 722761227224:22878
    8Tucson Roadrunners7221131028230:23978
    9Abbotsford Canucks71198737169:23261
    10Calgary Wranglers721491534203:26961


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 712912822231:19690
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 72383724237:18989
    3Cleveland Monsters ✔ 712313926211:22381
    4Toronto Marlies ✔ 712781026225:22680
    5Utica Comets722641131199:22071
    6Rochester Americans71229931210:23071
    7Belleville Senators72217935223:26265

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Chicago Wolves is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Texas Stars is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Manitoba Moose is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Milwaukee Admirals is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Colorado Eagles is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Henderson Silver Knights is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Coachella Valley Firebirds is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Bakersfield Condors is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Jose Barracuda is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Diego Gulls is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Cleveland Monsters is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Toronto Marlies is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )