VVV-Venlo vs Jong Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
0:1
17/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 32
  • Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.952.15
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
103
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
94
Passes
81% (353/438)82% (322/394)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
2.952.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.871.34
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
177
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free kicks
912
Passes
81% (353/438)82% (322/394)
Long passes
48% (30/63)44% (28/64)
Passes in final third
71% (96/135)63% (50/79)
Crosses
23% (7/31)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.010.26
Throw ins
1421
Fouls
129
Tackles
71% (20/28)46% (6/13)
Duels won
5336
Clearances
1821
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
210
xGOT faced
1.341.87
Goals prevented
0.341.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Ouazane A. 🟨,
  • 44', Sbai Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', Joosten T. 🟨,
  • 53', Matoug N. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
  • 65', Odriss M. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
  • 65', Saddiki D. ↓, Foor N. ↑,
  • 65', Butera E. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Kalokoh D. ⚽, Nash P. (A),
  • 74', van Zijl B. ↓, Triep J. ↑,
  • 74', de Blok L. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
  • 77', Nash P. ↓, Acheampong L. ↑,
  • 78', Acheampong L. 🟨,
  • 88', Peters T. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
  • 88', Ouazane A. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
  • 89', Appiah A. 🟨,
  • 89', Foor N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


VVV-Venlo
54.4%		Draw
22.4%		Jong Ajax
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 21.6% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 21.8% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
    •

    VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.72 ↑
    (1.59)    		 4.17 ↓
    (4.3)    		 4.03 ↓
    (4.6)    		 7.1%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Venlo: 12% – 65%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Venlo (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Venlo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 4.
    • Recent form of Venlo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Jong Ajax is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Venlo is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Venlo: Blancquart G. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Jong Ajax: O'Niel D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:31. (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax were as follows:
    26.09.2025 Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo 2:4
    07.03.2025 VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax 1:0
    01.11.2024 Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo 0:1
    03.05.2024 VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax 2:0
    06.10.2023 Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo 3:0
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    13.03.2026 MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo 2:1 ✺
    06.03.2026 VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk 0:3 ✺
    27.02.2026 ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo 1:0 ✺
    20.02.2026 VVV-Venlo - FC Oss 1:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Vitesse - VVV-Venlo 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    13.03.2026 Jong Ajax - Den Bosch 3:2 ✺
    06.03.2026 FC Eindhoven - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺
    27.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 5:1 ✺
    23.02.2026 Emmen - Jong Ajax 0:0 ✺
    20.02.2026 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 0:1 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 35228571:432874
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Jong PSV351651463:59453
    7Waalwijk3514101161:53852
    8Roda3513121054:49551
    9Den Bosch341471360:60049
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC351351749:63-1444
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen351181655:65-1041
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht35991741:71-3036
    18Oss358111646:61-1535
    19Helmond35981840:61-2135
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
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