Result
3:2 penalties
13/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
Chile | Disney+ |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
Germany | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Norway | Viaplay |
Slovakia | Dajto, Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 17 | 34 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.76% (2/17) | 5.88% (2/34) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 32 | 15 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.12% (32/34) | 88.24% (15/17) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 75% (3/4) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 34 | 35 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 49.28 | 50.72 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 01:12, Point B. (2 min),
- 01:45, Shabanov M. (2 min),
- 02:11, D'Astous C. (2 min),
- 03:05, 1 - 0, Schaefer M. (G), Duclair A. (A), Barzal M. (A2)
- 10:16, 2 - 0, Ritchie C. (G), Duclair A. (A),
- 20:00, Hagel B. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 01:22, (2 min),
- 08:17, Mitchell T. (2 min),
- 09:20, Cizikas C. (2 min),
- 10:13, 2 - 1, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
- 13:44, Johansson J. ↓, Halverson B. ↑,
- 13:50, Holmstrom S. (2 min),
- 13:50, Halverson B. ↓, Johansson J. ↑,
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 03:20, 2 - 2, Moser J.J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Point B. (A2)
- 05:01, D'Astous C. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (2 - 1)
- 1, Guentzel J. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Barzal M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Point B. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Holmstrom S. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kucherov N. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Heineman E. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
New York Islanders 35.5% | Draw 22.2% | Tampa Bay Lightning 42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.66 ↑ (2.64) |
4.33 ↑ (4.13) |
2.26 ↓ (2.29) |
4.9% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.
- NY Islanders is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tampa Bay has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in NY Islanders: Bear E.
(Injury)
Drouin J.
(Back Injury)
Engvall P.
(Ankle Injury)
Horvat B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Palmieri K.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E.
(Injury)
Hedman V.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tampa Bay: James D.
(Injury)
Vasilevski A.
(Injury)
- We predict that NY Islanders will win today's game, with odds of 2.73.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 44:67. (average 2.2:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 2.9:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has New York Islanders won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
New York Islanders has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against New York Islanders?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
06.12.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
New York Islanders
0:2
02.12.2025
New York Islanders
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:1
01.04.2025
New York Islanders
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
1:4
29.03.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
New York Islanders
5:3
01.02.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
New York Islanders
2:3
Latest results of New York Islanders
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 56 | 35 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 216:140 | 85 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars | 58 | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 197:161 | 79 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 58 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 196:169 | 78 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 58 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 197:183 | 70 |
| 5 | Anaheim Ducks | 57 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 23 | 191:200 | 65 |
| 6 | Utah Mammoth | 58 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 185:161 | 64 |
| 7 | Edmonton Oilers | 59 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 203:200 | 64 |
| 8 | Seattle Kraken | 57 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 163:169 | 63 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Kings | 57 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 150:167 | 60 |
| 10 | Nashville Predators | 57 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 169:198 | 59 |
| 11 | San Jose Sharks | 55 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 171:193 | 58 |
| 12 | Winnipeg Jets | 57 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 163:177 | 54 |
| 13 | Chicago Blackhawks | 57 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 154:185 | 53 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 56 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 142:169 | 52 |
| 15 | St. Louis Blues | 57 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 147:203 | 49 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 58 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 151:213 | 43 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 56 | 29 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 203:142 | 80 |
| 2 | Carolina Hurricanes | 57 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 197:163 | 78 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 57 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 199:187 | 72 |
| 4 | Detroit Red Wings | 58 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 174:175 | 72 |
| 5 | Buffalo Sabres | 58 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 197:177 | 72 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 56 | 25 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 192:169 | 70 |
| 7 | Boston Bruins | 57 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 195:182 | 69 |
| 8 | New York Islanders | 58 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 169:162 | 69 |
| 9 | Washington Capitals | 60 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 192:178 | 67 |
| 10 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 56 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 179:177 | 65 |
| 11 | Ottawa Senators | 57 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 191:184 | 63 |
| 12 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 58 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 190:198 | 63 |
| 13 | Florida Panthers | 57 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 174:191 | 61 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Flyers | 57 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 168:183 | 61 |
| 15 | New Jersey Devils | 58 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 28 | 147:177 | 58 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 57 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 151:180 | 50 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )