New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
13/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaDajto, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
1734
Shots off target
1416
Shooting PCT
11.76% (2/17)5.88% (2/34)
Blocked Shots
1020
Goalkeeper Saves
3215
Saves PCT
94.12% (32/34)88.24% (15/17)
Penalties
54
PIM
108
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
25% (1/4)20% (1/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
80% (4/5)75% (3/4)
Hits
1927
Faceoffs Won
3435
Faceoffs %
49.2850.72
Giveaways
138
Takeaways
46
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:12, Point B. (2 min),
  • 01:45, Shabanov M. (2 min),
  • 02:11, D'Astous C. (2 min),
  • 03:05, 1 - 0, Schaefer M. (G), Duclair A. (A), Barzal M. (A2)
  • 10:16, 2 - 0, Ritchie C. (G), Duclair A. (A),
  • 20:00, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 01:22, (2 min),
  • 08:17, Mitchell T. (2 min),
  • 09:20, Cizikas C. (2 min),
  • 10:13, 2 - 1, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
  • 13:44, Johansson J. , Halverson B. ,
  • 13:50, Holmstrom S. (2 min),
  • 13:50, Halverson B. , Johansson J. ,
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 03:20, 2 - 2, Moser J.J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Point B. (A2)
  • 05:01, D'Astous C. (2 min),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 1)
  • 1, Guentzel J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Barzal M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Point B. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Holmstrom S. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Kucherov N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Heineman E. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Islanders
35.5%
Draw
22.2%
Tampa Bay Lightning
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 22.9% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 22.2% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.64)
    4.33
    (4.13)
    2.26
    (2.29)
    4.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.
    • NY Islanders is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tampa Bay has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in NY Islanders: Bear E. (Injury) Drouin J. (Back Injury) Engvall P. (Ankle Injury) Horvat B. (Lower-Body Injury) Palmieri K. (Knee Injury) Romanov A. (Shoulder Injury) Varlamov S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Injury) Hedman V. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: James D. (Injury) Vasilevski A. (Injury)
    • We predict that NY Islanders will win today's game, with odds of 2.73.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 44:67. (average 2.2:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 2.9:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Islanders 0:2
    02.12.2025 New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1
    01.04.2025 New York Islanders - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:4
    29.03.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Islanders 5:3
    01.02.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Islanders 2:3
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    Eastern Conference
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    3Montreal Canadiens572111817199:18772
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    5Buffalo Sabres58276619197:17772
    6Pittsburgh Penguins562541215192:16970
    7Boston Bruins57248520195:18269
    8New York Islanders582210521169:16269
    9Washington Capitals60255723192:17867
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