Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 8
- Referee: Jurgensen L. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Germany | BR Fernsehen, DFB Play, Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Stefaniak M. ⚽, Uhlmann E. (A),
- 35', Fabisch J. 🟨,
- 42', Deniz T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Steinkotter J. ↓, Lippmann C. ↑,
- 53', Fallmann P. 🟨,
- 59', Niederlechner F. ↓, Haugen S. ↑,
- 59', Wolfram M. ↓, Philipp D. ↑,
- 61', Clausen M. ↓, Ehlers J. ↑,
- 69', Christiansen M. ↓, Jacobsen T. ↑,
- 73', Guttau J. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
- 73', Schmid M. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 0, Uhlmann E. ⚽, Majetschak E. (A),
- 84', Deniz T. ↓, Hobsch P. ↑,
- 84', Pfeifer M. 🟨,
- 89', Uhlmann E. ↓, Tashchy B. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4n6d2exh
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
54.6% | Draw
25.4% | 1860 München
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erzgebirge Aue's performance.1860 München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 1860 München might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-26.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erzgebirge Aue that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (+25.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 1860 München could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(3.22) |
5.83 ↑
(3.51) |
7.96 ↑
(2.12) |
-29.1%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. 1860 München (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
1860 München will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
- Recent form of Aue has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, 1860 München has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- 1860 München will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Aue won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against 1860 München?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has 1860 München won against Erzgebirge Aue?
1860 München has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München were as follows:
17.05.2025
1860 München
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:1
21.12.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
1860 München
3:1
03.02.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
1860 München
0:0
02.09.2023
1860 München
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:2
18.03.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
1860 München
1:3
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Duisburg | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 23 |
| 2 | Saarbrucken | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Cottbus | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21:12 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | VfL Osnabruck | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | RW Essen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:17 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Viktoria Koln | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Mannheim | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Ulm | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Wehen | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 11 | Verl | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Munich 1860 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Alemannia Aachen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Hansa Rostock | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Aue | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Ingolstadt | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 8 |
| 18 | Regensburg | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10:19 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:25 | -19 | 3 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
