Result
2:1
03/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 27
- Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Wolfram M. ⚽,
- 12', 1 - 1, Bar M. ⚽,
- 20', Gunther-Schmidt J. 🟨,
- 25', Collins J. 🟨,
- 30', Reinthaler M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 1, Haugen S. ⚽, Voet S. (A),
- 62', Malone R. 🟨,
- 65', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,
- 67', Wolfram M. ↓, Steinkotter J. ↑,
- 74', Stefaniak M. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
- 81', Simnica L. ↓, Fabisch J. ↑,
- 81', Guttau J. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
- 82', Volland K. ↓, Hobsch P. ↑,
- 82', Rittmuller M. ↓, Lippmann C. ↑,
- 90', Haugen S. ↓, Niederlechner F. ↑,
- 90+2', Fallmann P. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5n7j49mv
Chances of winning
1860 München
49.2% | Draw
26.1% | Erzgebirge Aue
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
1860 München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.82) |
3.59 ↓
(3.78) |
3.79 ↓
(3.83) |
7%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for 1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
1860 München will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1860 München will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 0.
- 1860 München is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aue is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- 1860 München may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, 1860 München is considered a favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, 1860 München won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has 1860 München won against Erzgebirge Aue?
1860 München has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against 1860 München?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
27.09.2025
Erzgebirge Aue
-
1860 München
2:0
17.05.2025
1860 München
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:1
21.12.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
1860 München
3:1
03.02.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
1860 München
0:0
02.09.2023
1860 München
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:2
Latest results of 1860 München
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 61 |
| 2 | RW Essen | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 61:49 | 12 | 55 |
| 3 | Verl | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 70:41 | 29 | 54 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 54:41 | 13 | 54 |
| 5 | Cottbus | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 55:44 | 11 | 54 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 53:32 | 21 | 53 |
| 7 | Munich 1860 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 46:39 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Wehen | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 49:54 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | Alemannia Aachen | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Ingolstadt | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 50:41 | 9 | 40 |
| 12 | Regensburg | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42:45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Viktoria Koln | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim II | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 35 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 40:46 | -6 | 33 |
| 17 | Ulm | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 39:62 | -23 | 25 |
| 18 | Aue | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 34:54 | -20 | 24 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 43:69 | -26 | 23 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 30 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 29:69 | -40 | 17 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
