Guaraní Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 7

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.251.32
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
53
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
51
Passes
77% (240/311)84% (368/437)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.251.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.700.57
Total shots
129
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
106
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2019
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free kicks
916
Passes
77% (240/311)84% (368/437)
Long passes
27% (10/37)58% (40/69)
Passes in final third
55% (42/77)71% (92/129)
Crosses
25% (4/16)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.77
Throw ins
2920
Fouls
169
Tackles
53% (8/15)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4740
Clearances
1327
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.571.70
Goals prevented
-0.430.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Ramirez I. , Rodriguez D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Riquelme H. , Colman O. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez D. , Fernandez D. ,
  • 63', Delvalle P. , Acosta D. ,
  • 63', Caceres Aguero F. M. , Ruiz Diaz R. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Acosta D. , Ruiz Diaz R. (A),
  • 68', Fernandez F. , Torales R. ,
  • 68', Llano J. , Maldonado M. ,
  • 71', Sanabria S. , Diaz J. ,
  • 77', Gomez A. , Fretes S. D. ,
  • 85', Perez D. 🟨,
  • 85', Tanda P. , Manzur A. ,
  • 85', Ramirez I. , Romero N. ,
  • 87', Colman O. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Rodriguez D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guaraní Asuncion
51.3%
Draw
26.8%
2 de Mayo
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 25.8% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 23.8% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • 2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 2 de Mayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.56)
    3.47
    (3.4)
    4.21
    (4.9)
    8.4%
    (13.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo?
  • Users Predictions: Guaraní Asuncion will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 2.
    • Guaraní is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • 2 de Mayo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Guaraní may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo were as follows:
    05.11.2025 2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion 1:0
    12.09.2025 2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion 1:0
    06.07.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo 3:1
    16.04.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo 0:1
    06.03.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo 2:0
    Latest results of 2 de Mayo
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion15113124:91536
    2Cerro Porteno15102325:131232
    3Ameliano1566318:12624
    4Nacional Asuncion1566322:17524
    5Sportivo Trinidense1557319:14522
    6Guarani1556421:16521
    7Libertad Asuncion1562721:16520
    8Recoleta1554620:20019
    9Rubio Nu1543810:19-915
    102 de Mayo1535711:24-1314
    11Sp. Luqueno1533916:24-812
    12San Lorenzo15051010:33-235

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