Result
5:1
31/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.34 | 0.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (336/414) | 73% (224/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.34 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.29 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (336/414) | 73% (224/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 40% (24/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (77/118) | 51% (39/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 3.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Gutierrez T. ⚽, Valdez I. (A),
- 6', 1 - 1, Ruiz Diaz R. ⚽,
- 28', Sanabria S. 🟨,
- 28', Sosa P. 🟨,
- 29', 2 - 1, Valdez I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Espinola A. ↓, Davalos Valdez V. ↑,
- 46', Gaona W. ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
- 52', 3 - 1, Ibarrola W. (Own goal),
- 56', Coronel U. ↓, Romero O. ↑,
- 61', Fretes S. ↓, Alfonso E. ↑,
- 64', Bailone I. ↓, Santa C. R. ↑,
- 65', Vargas S. ↓, Colman Escobar D. J. ↑,
- 68', Caceres Aguero F. M. ↓, Ayala W. ↑,
- 72', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Samudio A. ↑,
- 72', Jara F. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 5 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
51.7% | Draw
29.6% | 2 de Mayo
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Nacional Asuncion - 2 de Mayo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.94) |
3.12 ↓
(3.3) |
5.01 ↑
(3.97) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - 2 de Mayo?
Users Predictions:
Nacional Asuncion will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nacional Asuncion will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
- 2 de Mayo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against 2 de Mayo?
Nacional Asuncion has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Nacional Asuncion?
2 de Mayo has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - 2 de Mayo were as follows:
17.10.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
02.08.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
1:1
06.04.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
1:0
25.01.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:0
16.10.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
0:0
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 27 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarani | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Ameliano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
