Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (240/320) | 80% (351/437) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (240/320) | 80% (351/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 32% (24/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (85/137) | 57% (41/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 62 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jara F. ↓, Arrua C. ↑,
- 46', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Ramirez Antunez R. C. ↑,
- 46', Romero O. ↓, Brener F. ↑,
- 46', Coronel U. ↓, Costa F. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Alfaro J. L. ⚽, Prieto R. (A),
- 56', Brener F. 🟨,
- 68', Cornet R. 🟨,
- 68', Prieto R. 🟨,
- 69', Arrua C. 🟨,
- 74', Caballero G. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
- 75', Ortiz C. ↓, Quintana S. ↑,
- 75', Cornet R. ↓, Llano J. ↑,
- 75', Molinas A. ↓, Caballero M. ↑,
- 75', Ramirez Antunez R. C. 🟨,
- 86', Acosta D. 🟨,
- 88', Acosta D. ↓, Bareiro S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
43.4% | Draw
30% | 2 de Mayo
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Nacional Asuncion - 2 de Mayo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.16) |
3.05 ↑
(2.97) |
3.49 ↓
(3.59) |
8.4%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2.
- Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- 2 de Mayo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Nacional will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against 2 de Mayo?
Nacional Asuncion has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Nacional Asuncion?
2 de Mayo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - 2 de Mayo were as follows:
25.01.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:0
16.10.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
0:0
09.10.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
2:1
07.08.2024
2 de Mayo
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
17.05.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
3:1
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Sp. Luqueno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Recoleta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 de Mayo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Atl. Tembetary | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | General Caballero JLM | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
