Result
1:0
17/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 17
- Referee: Benitez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Paraguay | Futbol Paraguayo, Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (456/545) | 56% (116/207) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (456/545) | 56% (116/207) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 38% (22/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (109/152) | 40% (27/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Bailone I. 🟨,
- 20', Gutierrez T. ↓, Canete Torres A. D. ↑,
- 23', Franco F. 🟥,
- 39', 1 - 0, Ruiz Diaz R. (Pen),
- 45+8', Jara F. 🟨,
- 45+8', Nunez C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cabrera M. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
- 46', Bailone I. ↓, Benitez H. ↑,
- 50', Acosta M. 🟨,
- 61', Alfonso E. ↓, Romero O. ↑,
- 68', Rodrigo G. ↓, Fretes S. ↑,
- 69', Alfaro J. F. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
- 70', Feliu J. 🟨,
- 81', Ruiz Diaz R. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
- 81', Sanabria S. ↓, Maidana E. ↑,
- 81', Llano J. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
Chances of winning
2 de Mayo
31.9% | Draw
30.2% | Nacional Asuncion
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 2 de Mayo's form might have worsened.Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 2 de Mayo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
2 de Mayo - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↑
(2.5) |
3.06 ↓
(3.26) |
2.51 ↓
(2.76) |
6.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo - Nacional Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. 2 de Mayo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 3)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 0.
- 2 de Mayo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nacional has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, 2 de Mayo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Nacional Asuncion?
2 de Mayo has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against 2 de Mayo?
Nacional Asuncion has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 2 de Mayo - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
02.08.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
1:1
06.04.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
1:0
25.01.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:0
16.10.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
0:0
09.10.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
2:1
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 36:15 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 24 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:18 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
