Result
1:1
17/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Juliadoza G. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (262/328) | 85% (440/516) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (262/328) | 85% (440/516) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 54% (35/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (61/80) | 74% (145/196) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Farina A. ⚽, Acosta D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Meza Montiel D. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 46', Diaz J. ↓, Sanabria S. ↑,
- 46', Colman C. ↓, Barrios J. ↑,
- 46', Galeano A. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
- 52', Doldan J. 🟨,
- 59', Alfonso E. ↓, Fretes S. D. ↑,
- 59', Acosta D. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
- 68', Farina A. ↓, Colman O. ↑,
- 72', Sanabria S. 🟨,
- 73', Gonzalez H. ↓, Aveiro P. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Cespedes V. ⚽, Barrios J. (A),
- 77', Coronel U. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
- 84', Villamayor H. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
- 89', 🟨,
- 89', Doldan J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo San Lorenzo
32.5% | Draw
31.3% | 2 de Mayo
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 2 de Mayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 2 de Mayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↓
(3.21) |
2.95 ↓
(3.32) |
2.53 ↑
(2.18) |
8.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 11).
- Sportivo San Lorenzo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- 2 de Mayo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo San Lorenzo won against 2 de Mayo?
Sportivo San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Sportivo San Lorenzo?
2 de Mayo has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo were as follows:
08.09.2023
Sportivo San Lorenzo
-
2 de Mayo
0:1
05.06.2023
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo San Lorenzo
2:1
Latest results of Sportivo San Lorenzo
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 27 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarani | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Ameliano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
