Accrington Stanley vs Oldham Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 18
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.98
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
66% (215/328)61% (201/327)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.201.28
Total shots
716
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1129
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
159
Passes
66% (215/328)61% (201/327)
Long passes
36% (32/88)36% (33/91)
Passes in final third
63% (78/123)47% (60/129)
Crosses
15% (3/20)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.95
Throw-ins
3030
Fouls
915
Tackles
70% (7/10)80% (4/5)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
3821
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.280.20
Goals prevented
1.280.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Rawson F. 🟨,
  • 25', Hawkes J. , Drummond K. ,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Robson J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rawson F. , O'Brien C. ,
  • 52', Quigley J. , Mellon M. ,
  • 52', Hannant L. , Stevens J. ,
  • 64', Drummond K. 🟨,
  • 66', Matthews D. 🟨,
  • 67', Payne K. , Simeu D. ,
  • 67', Drummond K. , Fondop-Talum M. ,
  • 71', Caprice J. 🟨,
  • 87', Whalley S. , Caton C. ,
  • 88', Madden P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Wright O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
34.5%
Draw
30.1%
Oldham Athletic
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 29.8% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 29.3% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.55)
    3.09
    (3.12)
    2.66
    (2.75)
    6.6%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Accrington Stanley will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 15).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Recently, Oldham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive) Sass F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Walton T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oldham: Hammond O. (Inactive) Stevens J. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
    05.08.2025 Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic 3:1
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Oldham Athletic
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley422314567:412683
    2MK Dons422113877:423576
    3Notts Co422371271:452676
    4Cambridge Utd412014758:312774
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford422341557:50773
    7Chesterfield411814963:521168
    8Crewe421991461:501166
    9Oldham4117141052:351765
    10Grimsby4018111159:431665
    11Barnet4217131257:471064
    12Walsall4217111452:46662
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4214131551:53-255
    15Bristol Rovers421642246:62-1652
    16Accrington411491840:46-651
    17Gillingham4112131648:60-1249
    18Shrewsbury421282239:66-2744
    19Cheltenham4011101944:67-2343
    20Crawley428132140:62-2237
    21Tranmere41992348:71-2336
    22Newport42972641:72-3134
    23Barrow41892438:65-2733
    24Harrogate42892534:64-3033

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League