Accrington Stanley vs Oldham Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 18
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.98
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
66% (215/328)61% (201/327)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.201.28
Total shots
716
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1129
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
159
Passes
66% (215/328)61% (201/327)
Long passes
36% (32/88)36% (33/91)
Passes in final third
63% (78/123)47% (60/129)
Crosses
15% (3/20)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.95
Throw-ins
3030
Fouls
915
Tackles
70% (7/10)80% (4/5)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
3821
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.280.20
Goals prevented
1.280.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Rawson F. 🟨,
  • 25', Hawkes J. , Drummond K. ,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Robson J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rawson F. , O'Brien C. ,
  • 52', Quigley J. , Mellon M. ,
  • 52', Hannant L. , Stevens J. ,
  • 64', Drummond K. 🟨,
  • 66', Matthews D. 🟨,
  • 67', Payne K. , Simeu D. ,
  • 67', Drummond K. , Fondop-Talum M. ,
  • 71', Caprice J. 🟨,
  • 87', Whalley S. , Caton C. ,
  • 88', Madden P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Wright O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
34.5%
Draw
30.1%
Oldham Athletic
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 29.8% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 29.3% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.55)
    3.09
    (3.12)
    2.66
    (2.75)
    6.6%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 15).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Recently, Oldham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive) Sass F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Walton T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oldham: Hammond O. (Inactive) Stevens J. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
    05.08.2025 Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic 3:1
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Oldham Athletic
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley382113461:362576
    2MK Dons382111675:373874
    3Cambridge Utd371912655:282769
    4Notts Co372071060:372367
    5Salford382141354:47767
    6Swindon382061262:451766
    7Grimsby3716111051:401159
    8Chesterfield381514960:52859
    9Crewe381691354:47757
    10Walsall381691346:40657
    11Oldham361413943:311255
    12Barnet3814121246:42454
    13Colchester3714111250:401053
    14Fleetwood3813121347:46151
    15Accrington371391538:41-348
    16Gillingham3711121443:54-1145
    17Cheltenham371191741:60-1942
    18Shrewsbury381181937:59-2241
    19Bristol Rovers381242238:59-2140
    20Tranmere38992048:68-2036
    21Crawley386131936:59-2331
    22Newport38872338:65-2731
    23Harrogate38792229:57-2830
    24Barrow37782236:58-2229

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League