Accrington Stanley vs Oldham Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 18
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.98
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
66% (215/328)61% (201/327)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.201.28
Total shots
716
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1129
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
159
Passes
66% (215/328)61% (201/327)
Long passes
36% (32/88)36% (33/91)
Passes in final third
63% (78/123)47% (60/129)
Crosses
15% (3/20)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.95
Throw-ins
3030
Fouls
915
Tackles
70% (7/10)80% (4/5)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
3821
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.280.20
Goals prevented
1.280.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Rawson F. 🟨,
  • 25', Hawkes J. , Drummond K. ,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Robson J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rawson F. , O'Brien C. ,
  • 52', Quigley J. , Mellon M. ,
  • 52', Hannant L. , Stevens J. ,
  • 64', Drummond K. 🟨,
  • 66', Matthews D. 🟨,
  • 67', Payne K. , Simeu D. ,
  • 67', Drummond K. , Fondop-Talum M. ,
  • 71', Caprice J. 🟨,
  • 87', Whalley S. , Caton C. ,
  • 88', Madden P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Wright O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
34.5%
Draw
30.1%
Oldham Athletic
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 29.8% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 29.3% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.55)
    3.09
    (3.12)
    2.66
    (2.75)
    6.6%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 15).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Recently, Oldham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive) Sass F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Walton T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oldham: Hammond O. (Inactive) Stevens J. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
    05.08.2025 Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic 3:1
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Oldham Athletic
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley331811456:342265
    2Cambridge Utd33189648:262263
    3MK Dons331710662:332961
    4Notts Co33187852:322061
    5Swindon341941156:401661
    6Crewe341581150:401053
    7Chesterfield331314652:43953
    8Salford321641245:43252
    9Barnet3413111043:37650
    10Walsall321481040:35550
    11Colchester321310948:341449
    12Grimsby321310945:37849
    13Accrington331371336:34246
    14Fleetwood321281243:42144
    15Oldham311012934:30442
    16Gillingham3210111140:41-141
    17Shrewsbury341081633:52-1938
    18Tranmere33981645:57-1235
    19Cheltenham321051733:54-2135
    20Bristol Rovers33932132:56-2430
    21Crawley346101833:54-2128
    22Barrow32761933:50-1727
    23Harrogate34682024:51-2726
    24Newport33662132:60-2824

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League