Result
2:3
24/01/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 14
- Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.88 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (295/380) | 83% (410/493) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (295/380) | 83% (410/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 28% (16/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (64/103) | 68% (76/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.23 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Klein S. ⚽, Maieroni N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Anselmo ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
- 46', Riak A. ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Burkitt B. ⚽, Yull J. (A),
- 60', 2 - 1, Long Ch. ⚽, Ruhs M. (A),
- 62', Phillis S. ↓, Muniz J. ↑,
- 62', Goodwin C. ↓, Dukuly Y. ↑,
- 65', Ruhs M. ↓, Vidic J. ↑,
- 66', Muniz J. 🟨,
- 67', Talladira F. ↓, Madanha P. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Burkitt B. ⚽, Dukuly Y. (A),
- 77', Long Ch. ↓, D'Agostino N. ↑,
- 77', Vrakas G. ↓, Dench M. ↑,
- 82', O'Shea J. ↓, Shaw E. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Burkitt B. ⚽, Muniz J. (A),
- 90+3', Burkitt B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar
48% | Draw
26% | Adelaide United
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.08) |
3.61 ↑
(3.4) |
3.65 ↑
(3.25) |
5.8%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Adelaide (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brisbane Roar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 3 - 60%). Adelaide (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 1.
- Brisbane has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Adelaide is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Brisbane could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Brazete J.
(Inactive)
D'Agostino N.
(Injury)
O'Shea J.
(Inactive)
Stajic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Adelaide: Dukuly Y.
(International duty)
Jovanovic L.
(International duty)
Pierias D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Adelaide United?
Brisbane Roar has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Brisbane Roar?
Adelaide United has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United were as follows:
07.12.2025
Adelaide United
-
Brisbane Roar
0:1
22.04.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Adelaide United
1:1
08.03.2025
Adelaide United
-
Brisbane Roar
1:1
23.11.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Adelaide United
2:3
05.10.2024
Adelaide United
-
Brisbane Roar
1:1
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Latest results of Adelaide United
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
