Result
1:1
22/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 16
- Referee: Reibelt C. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (419/524) | 75% (286/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (419/524) | 75% (286/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 15% (7/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (120/159) | 57% (42/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.45 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 42 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Pierias D. ⚽, Dukuly Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', 1 - 1, Abubakar A. ⚽, Berenguer F. (A),
- 66', Berenguer F. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
- 66', Zabala L. ↓, Burke-Gilroy A. ↑,
- 66', Brazete J. ↓, Hore H. ↑,
- 66', Dukuly Y. ↓, Folami B. ↑,
- 66', Jovanovic L. ↓, Goodwin A. ↑,
- 75', Mauk S. ↓, Clough Z. ↑,
- 78', Halloran B. 🟨,
- 82', Barnett J. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 82', Yull J. ↓, Ayoubi A. ↑,
- 86', Jelacic K. ↓, Amanatidis N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar
30.6% | Draw
24.8% | Adelaide United
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brisbane Roar's performance.Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane Roar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↓
(4.01) |
3.83 ↑
(3.79) |
2.12 ↑
(1.86) |
5.5%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 8 - 25%). Adelaide will win (votes: 19 - 59.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 42.4% – 76.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 2 - 20%). Adelaide (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Brisbane won 1.
- Recent matches Brisbane is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Adelaide is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Adelaide will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Brisbane: Brown C.
(Injury)
Warland B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Adelaide: Madanha P.
(Hamstring Injury)
O'Neil B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Brisbane: Kasawaya P.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Brisbane won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 27:36 (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Brisbane won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:21 (average 1.6:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Adelaide United?
Brisbane Roar has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Brisbane Roar?
Adelaide United has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United were as follows:
08.03.2025
Adelaide United
-
Brisbane Roar
1:1
23.11.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Adelaide United
2:3
05.10.2024
Adelaide United
-
Brisbane Roar
1:1
26.04.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Adelaide United
3:4
09.12.2023
Adelaide United
-
Brisbane Roar
0:2
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Latest results of Adelaide United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
