Result
3:2
25/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 17
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (440/516) | 76% (239/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (440/516) | 76% (239/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (38/63) | 44% (32/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (141/189) | 62% (53/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (9/43) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.71 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Vlak J. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Boersma B. ⚽,
- 28', Gijselhart T. 🟨,
- 35', Tomas D. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 2, Boersma B. ⚽, Raterink O. (A),
- 44', van der Sloot S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Sylla S. ↓, Kreekels M. ↑,
- 46', Tomas D. ↓, Waem M. ↑,
- 65', Simons J. 🟨,
- 66', van der Sloot S. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
- 66', Peupion C. ↓, Thomas N. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 2, Waem M. ⚽, van Mieghem D. (A),
- 69', Simons J. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 2, Vlak J. ⚽,
- 79', Nikiema K. 🟨,
- 80', Meerstadt J. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
- 81', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
- 83', van Mieghem D. ↓, Bal J. ↑,
- 87', Bultman S. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
- 90+2', Kreekels M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ADO Den Haag
63.7% | Draw
18.8% | De Graafschap
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.39) |
5.01 ↓
(5.08) |
5.46 ↓
(6.48) |
6.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Haag: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Den Haag (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): ADO Den Haag will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 3.
- Recent performances by Den Haag have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- De Graafschap is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Den Haag is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Den Haag: de Ruijter I.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Den Haag won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has ADO Den Haag won against De Graafschap?
ADO Den Haag has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against ADO Den Haag?
De Graafschap has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap were as follows:
03.02.2025
De Graafschap
-
ADO Den Haag
1:2
25.10.2024
ADO Den Haag
-
De Graafschap
1:2
18.05.2024
ADO Den Haag
-
De Graafschap
2:2
14.05.2024
De Graafschap
-
ADO Den Haag
2:3
12.01.2024
ADO Den Haag
-
De Graafschap
5:3
Latest results of ADO Den Haag
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
