ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
25/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 17
  • Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.432.28
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
85% (440/516)76% (239/316)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.432.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.732.71
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
102
Shots inside the Box
159
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
3719
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
85% (440/516)76% (239/316)
Long passes
60% (38/63)44% (32/72)
Passes in final third
75% (141/189)62% (53/85)
Crosses
21% (9/43)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.371.39
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
1111
Tackles
75% (12/16)77% (17/22)
Duels won
4356
Clearances
2249
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.711.73
Goals prevented
0.71-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Vlak J. ,
  • 11', 1 - 1, Boersma B. ,
  • 28', Gijselhart T. 🟨,
  • 35', Tomas D. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Boersma B. , Raterink O. (A),
  • 44', van der Sloot S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sylla S. , Kreekels M. ,
  • 46', Tomas D. , Waem M. ,
  • 65', Simons J. 🟨,
  • 66', van der Sloot S. , Jimenez M. ,
  • 66', Peupion C. , Thomas N. ,
  • 67', 2 - 2, Waem M. , van Mieghem D. (A),
  • 69', Simons J. , de Jong F. ,
  • 75', 3 - 2, Vlak J. ,
  • 79', Nikiema K. 🟨,
  • 80', Meerstadt J. , Theodoridis D. ,
  • 81', Symons K. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 83', van Mieghem D. , Bal J. ,
  • 87', Bultman S. , Smits M. ,
  • 90+2', Kreekels M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


ADO Den Haag
63.7%
Draw
18.8%
De Graafschap
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.2% 18.4% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2% 17.6% 13.8%

ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.46
(1.39)
5.01
(5.08)
5.46
(6.48)
6.7%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Den Haag: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Den Haag (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): ADO Den Haag will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 3.
    • Recent performances by Den Haag have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • De Graafschap is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Den Haag is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Den Haag: de Ruijter I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Den Haag won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap were as follows:
    03.02.2025 De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag 1:2
    25.10.2024 ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap 1:2
    18.05.2024 ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap 2:2
    14.05.2024 De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag 2:3
    12.01.2024 ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap 5:3
    Latest results of ADO Den Haag
    21.11.2025 Cambuur - ADO Den Haag 2:0
    07.11.2025 ADO Den Haag - Roda 4:0
    28.10.2025 Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag 4:3
    25.10.2025 ADO Den Haag - Den Bosch 2:1
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    09.11.2025 Waalwijk - De Graafschap 1:4
    31.10.2025 Den Bosch - De Graafschap 1:2
    28.10.2025 GVVV - De Graafschap 4:2
    24.10.2025 De Graafschap - Jong PSV 3:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag25182562:293356
    2Cambuur23155350:262450
    3Jong PSV26134954:48643
    4De Graafschap26126849:40942
    5Almere City251231053:411239
    6Willem II25116834:34039
    7Roda26109743:40339
    8Waalwijk26107943:40337
    9Dordrecht26107937:36137
    10Venlo261121335:39-435
    11Den Bosch261041245:48-334
    12Jong Utrecht2588944:46-232
    13Eindhoven FC25941235:45-1031
    14Maastricht26861232:50-1830
    15FC Emmen23851040:44-429
    16Helmond26851333:45-1229
    17Jong AZ26821644:53-926
    18Oss26681233:44-1126
    19Vitesse2698939:40-123
    20Jong Ajax25471433:50-1719

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )