Result
0:1
07/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Masaba J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Gor Mahia 46.2% | Draw 30.3% | AFC Leopards 23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)AFC Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (-1%)
Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.97 ↑ (1.93) |
3 ↓ (3.04) |
3.86 ↓ (3.96) |
10.1% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 2.
- Gor Mahia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leopards has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leopards may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Gor Mahia is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:8. (average 1.5:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gor Mahia won against AFC Leopards?
Gor Mahia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Leopards won against Gor Mahia?
AFC Leopards has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards were as follows:
02.06.2025
Gor Mahia
-
AFC Leopards
1:1
30.03.2025
AFC Leopards
-
Gor Mahia
0:0
21.04.2024
Gor Mahia
-
AFC Leopards
1:0
07.10.2023
AFC Leopards
-
Gor Mahia
0:2
14.05.2023
Gor Mahia
-
AFC Leopards
1:2
Latest results of Gor Mahia
Latest results of AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Leopards | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 33:18 | 15 | 49 |
| 3 | Police FC | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Shabana | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 40 |
| 5 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 35:26 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | Muranga | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 33:27 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Tusker | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 37 |
| 8 | Bandari | 25 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | KCB | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 25:27 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 28:24 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Posta Rangers | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 23:29 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Mara Sugar | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 22:24 | -2 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 18:28 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 22 |
| 16 | Bidco United | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 22 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 21 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15:34 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League