Result
4:1
14/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 59', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 76', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 87', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mathare United
24.8% | Draw
32.4% | AFC Leopards
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)AFC Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Mathare United - AFC Leopards Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↓
(3.83) |
2.78 ↓
(3.01) |
2.11 ↑
(2) |
10.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mathare United - AFC Leopards?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leopards (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 1.
- Mathare United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leopards is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Leopards will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against AFC Leopards?
Mathare United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Leopards won against Mathare United?
AFC Leopards has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - AFC Leopards were as follows:
02.11.2025
AFC Leopards
-
Mathare United
2:0
14.05.2025
AFC Leopards
-
Mathare United
3:1
18.01.2023
AFC Leopards
-
Mathare United
2:1
Latest results of Mathare United
Latest results of AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
