Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 14
- Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (311/422) | 59% (172/292) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (311/422) | 59% (172/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (22/73) | 34% (30/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (84/145) | 45% (55/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 64 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Bugiel O. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Bugiel O. 🟨,
- 51', 0 - 1, Hartridge A. ⚽, Webster C. (A),
- 60', Asiimwe N. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
- 60', Hippolyte M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 61', Bauer P. ↓, Harbottle R. ↑,
- 72', Johnson R. 🟨,
- 72', Hartridge A. 🟨,
- 76', Bugiel O. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
- 79', Chauke K. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
- 79', Collins B. 🟨,
- 88', Shade T. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 90+3', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
46.8% | Draw
28.7% | Burton Albion
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
AFC Wimbledon - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02
(2.02) |
3.3 ↓
(3.38) |
3.82 ↑
(3.61) |
6.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Burton Albion?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 1st Half - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
AFC Wimbledon will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AFC Wimbledon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 0.
- Wimbledon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Burton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Wimbledon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Burton: Newall J.
(Inactive)
Revan S.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Burton Albion?
AFC Wimbledon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against AFC Wimbledon?
Burton Albion has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Burton Albion were as follows:
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 71:34 | 37 | 81 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 76 |
| 3 | Bolton | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 55:38 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 6 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 59 |
| 6 | Reading | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 58 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 58:48 | 10 | 57 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 40:38 | 2 | 57 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 55:41 | 14 | 56 |
| 10 | Plymouth | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 57:53 | 4 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 51:48 | 3 | 54 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 59:59 | 0 | 50 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 37 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 56:51 | 5 | 49 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 48:54 | -6 | 49 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 46 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 53:62 | -9 | 45 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 40:59 | -19 | 44 |
| 18 | Burton | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:53 | -11 | 43 |
| 19 | Exeter | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42:50 | -8 | 42 |
| 20 | Wigan | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 41 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 35:55 | -20 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 32:52 | -20 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28:49 | -21 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
