Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 14
- Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (311/422) | 59% (172/292) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (311/422) | 59% (172/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (22/73) | 34% (30/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (84/145) | 45% (55/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 64 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Bugiel O. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Bugiel O. 🟨,
- 51', 0 - 1, Hartridge A. ⚽, Webster C. (A),
- 60', Asiimwe N. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
- 60', Hippolyte M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 61', Bauer P. ↓, Harbottle R. ↑,
- 72', Johnson R. 🟨,
- 72', Hartridge A. 🟨,
- 76', Bugiel O. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
- 79', Chauke K. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
- 79', Collins B. 🟨,
- 88', Shade T. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 90+3', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
46.8% | Draw
28.7% | Burton Albion
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
AFC Wimbledon - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02
(2.02) |
3.3 ↓
(3.38) |
3.82 ↑
(3.61) |
6.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Burton Albion?
Users Predictions:
AFC Wimbledon will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AFC Wimbledon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 0.
- Wimbledon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Burton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Wimbledon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Burton: Newall J.
(Inactive)
Revan S.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Burton Albion?
AFC Wimbledon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against AFC Wimbledon?
Burton Albion has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Burton Albion were as follows:
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 48 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 32:24 | 8 | 43 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33:29 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Bolton | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 38 |
| 7 | Stevenage | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 26:18 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Luton | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 33:29 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | Reading | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 32 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 32 |
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27:31 | -4 | 31 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 30 |
| 14 | Wigan | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 30 |
| 15 | Exeter | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 23:21 | 2 | 29 |
| 16 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 29 |
| 17 | Blackpool | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 29 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 35:41 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Northampton | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 22:28 | -6 | 28 |
| 20 | Burton | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 23:31 | -8 | 27 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 27 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 24 |
| 23 | Doncaster | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
