Doncaster Rovers vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 9
  • Referee: Wright P. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.91
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
75% (350/468)69% (237/343)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.16
Total shots
128
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
127
Passes
75% (350/468)69% (237/343)
Long passes
33% (30/92)35% (24/68)
Passes in final third
49% (54/110)58% (73/126)
Crosses
36% (5/14)36% (9/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.77
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
712
Tackles
92% (12/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5544
Clearances
3731
Interceptions
197
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.160.77
Goals prevented
-0.84-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Seddon S. 🟨,
  • 37', Molyneux L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Bailey O. , Molyneux L. (A),
  • 68', Crew C. , Gotts R. ,
  • 68', Gibson J. , Middleton G. ,
  • 68', Bugiel O. , Orsi-Dadomo D. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Johnson R. , Reeves J. (A),
  • 78', Molyneux L. , Ajayi D. ,
  • 78', Sharp B. , Olusanya T. ,
  • 80', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Hippolyte M. ,
  • 87', Broadbent G. , Close B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Doncaster Rovers
46.8%
Draw
30.2%
AFC Wimbledon
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 26.6% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 25.7% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Doncaster Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.74)
    3.11
    (3.5)
    4.1
    (4.65)
    5.1%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Doncaster Rovers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 2.
    • Doncaster is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Wimbledon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Doncaster is the team to beat.
    • There are questionable in Doncaster: Gotts R. (Thigh Injury) Sterry J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 1:1
    14.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers 1:0
    24.02.2024 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    11.11.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers 2:0
    11.03.2023 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1072118:11723
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Blackpool1022610:17-78
    22Burton92256:14-88
    23Rotherham92167:13-67
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two