Doncaster Rovers vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 9
  • Referee: Wright P. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.91
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
75% (350/468)69% (237/343)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.16
Total shots
128
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
127
Passes
75% (350/468)69% (237/343)
Long passes
33% (30/92)35% (24/68)
Passes in final third
49% (54/110)58% (73/126)
Crosses
36% (5/14)36% (9/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.77
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
712
Tackles
92% (12/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5544
Clearances
3731
Interceptions
197
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.160.77
Goals prevented
-0.84-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Seddon S. 🟨,
  • 37', Molyneux L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Bailey O. , Molyneux L. (A),
  • 68', Crew C. , Gotts R. ,
  • 68', Gibson J. , Middleton G. ,
  • 68', Bugiel O. , Orsi-Dadomo D. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Johnson R. , Reeves J. (A),
  • 78', Molyneux L. , Ajayi D. ,
  • 78', Sharp B. , Olusanya T. ,
  • 80', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Hippolyte M. ,
  • 87', Broadbent G. , Close B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Doncaster Rovers
46.8%
Draw
30.2%
AFC Wimbledon
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 26.6% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 25.7% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Doncaster Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.74)
    3.11
    (3.5)
    4.1
    (4.65)
    5.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Doncaster (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Doncaster Rovers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 2.
    • Doncaster is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Wimbledon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Doncaster is the team to beat.
    • There are questionable in Doncaster: Gotts R. (Thigh Injury) Sterry J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 1:1
    14.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers 1:0
    24.02.2024 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    11.11.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers 2:0
    11.03.2023 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two