AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London).

League One - Round 27
Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.89	1.01
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
2	3
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
7	4
Passes
76% (287/378)	71% (216/305)
Yellow cards
4	2
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.89	1.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.07	1.00
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
6	1
Blocked shots
3	6
Shots inside the box
8	8
Shots outside the box
3	2
Hit the woodwork
0	2
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
12	14
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
3	3
Free kicks
14	14
Passes
76% (287/378)	71% (216/305)
Long passes
38% (29/77)	32% (24/75)
Passes in final third
64% (76/119)	49% (45/92)
Crosses
21% (6/29)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	0.82
Throw ins
27	22
Fouls
14	14
Tackles
75% (6/8)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
47	58
Clearances
27	40
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.00	0.07
Goals prevented
0.00	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Okoronkwo F. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
55', Broadbent G. ↓, Robinson D. ↑,
56', Senior J. 🟨,
66', Seddon S. 🟨,
67', Stevens M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
68', Maycock C. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
72', Lewis J. 🟨,
73', Gotts R. 🟨,
78', Adelakun H. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
78', Clifton H. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
85', Reeves J. 🟨,
87', Nkeng R. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
90', Lewis J. 🟨,
90+1', Browne M. ↓, Bauer P. ↑,
90+9', 0 - 1, Bailey O. ⚽, Sterry J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

AFC Wimbledon
35.5%

Draw
28.3%

Doncaster Rovers
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

26.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Doncaster Rovers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.58)	3.28 ↓ (3.38)	2.58 (2.58)	7.3% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers?

Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AFC Wimbledon will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.
Wimbledon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Doncaster is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Doncaster: Close B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Sasu A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Doncaster: Grehan S. (Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Doncaster Rovers?

AFC Wimbledon has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against AFC Wimbledon?

Doncaster Rovers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:

20.09.2025 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 1:2

12.04.2025 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 1:1

14.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers 1:0

24.02.2024 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 1:0

11.11.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers 2:0

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

12.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - West Ham United U21 4:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon 2:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon 1:3 ✺

29.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Doncaster Rovers

13.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Fleetwood Town 3:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Southampton 2:3 ✺

01.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Stockport County - Doncaster Rovers 4:2 ✺

26.12.2025 Blackpool - Doncaster Rovers 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two