Grimsby Town vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Blundell Park (Cleethorpes).

League Two - Round 46
Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	1.18
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
8	10
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
64% (203/316)	57% (161/282)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	1.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.33	1.92
Total shots
8	10
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
16	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
16	4
Passes
64% (203/316)	57% (161/282)
Long passes
28% (18/65)	23% (20/86)
Passes in final third
51% (57/112)	55% (69/126)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.37
Throw-ins
37	23
Fouls
4	16
Tackles
50% (11/22)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
73	47
Clearances
29	46
Interceptions
10	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.92	0.33
Goals prevented
0.92	0.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Johnson R. 🟨,
42', Browne M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Hutchinson S. ⚽,
69', Warren T. ↓, McJannett C. ↑,
76', Browne M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
82', Rodgers H. ↓, Barrington L. ↑,
82', Khouri E. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
88', Stevens M. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
90+1', Reeves J. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Grimsby Town
36.5%

Draw
30.2%

AFC Wimbledon
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.59)	3.11 ↓ (3.21)	2.81 ↑ (2.7)	6.6% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Wimbledon (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Davies J. (Inactive) Wilson D. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Harbottle R. (Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.4:0.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against AFC Wimbledon?

Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Grimsby Town?

AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:

09.11.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town 0:1

05.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town 0:0

05.08.2023 Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:0

08.05.2023 Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon 1:0

03.12.2022 AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town 1:0

Latest results of Grimsby Town

26.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town 0:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Port Vale - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 0:4 ✺

12.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:1 ✺

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

26.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 0:2 ✺

21.04.2025 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Chesterfield 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	42	17	14	11	52:36	16	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	42	8	9	25	40:68	-28	33
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League