Grimsby Town vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon
Result
0:1
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 46
  • Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.18
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
64% (203/316)57% (161/282)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.331.92
Total shots
810
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
164
Passes
64% (203/316)57% (161/282)
Long passes
28% (18/65)23% (20/86)
Passes in final third
51% (57/112)55% (69/126)
Crosses
21% (4/19)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.37
Throw-ins
3723
Fouls
416
Tackles
50% (11/22)50% (8/16)
Duels won
7347
Clearances
2946
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.920.33
Goals prevented
0.920.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Johnson R. 🟨,
  • 42', Browne M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Hutchinson S. ,
  • 69', Warren T. , McJannett C. ,
  • 76', Browne M. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 82', Rodgers H. , Barrington L. ,
  • 82', Khouri E. , Vernam C. ,
  • 88', Stevens M. , Kelly J. ,
  • 90+1', Reeves J. , Hippolyte M. ,

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
36.5%
Draw
30.2%
AFC Wimbledon
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 29.1% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 28.4% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.59)
    3.11
    (3.21)
    2.81
    (2.7)
    6.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Davies J. (Inactive) Wilson D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Harbottle R. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.4:0.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    09.11.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town 0:1
    05.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town 0:0
    05.08.2023 Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:0
    08.05.2023 Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    03.12.2022 AFC Wimbledon - Grimsby Town 1:0
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League