Wigan Athletic vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 45
  • Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.250.47
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
164
Shots on target
02
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
103
Passes
83% (390/472)54% (106/197)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
1.250.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.27
Total shots
164
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
71
Blocked shots
91
Shots inside the box
112
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
2719
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1010
Passes
83% (390/472)54% (106/197)
Long passes
44% (17/39)16% (8/50)
Passes in final third
78% (121/155)43% (40/93)
Crosses
8% (2/24)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.45
Throw ins
4418
Fouls
1010
Tackles
64% (7/11)59% (13/22)
Duels won
5647
Clearances
3139
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
10
xGOT faced
1.270.00
Goals prevented
0.270.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Seddon S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Ogundere I. 🟨,
  • 52', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
  • 60', Wright C. 🟨,
  • 65', Bettoni H. , McManaman C. ,
  • 66', Carragher J. , Fox M. ,
  • 66', Stewart L. , Sasu A. ,
  • 77', Hippolyte M. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 77', Nkeng R. , Hackford A. ,
  • 81', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 86', Borges Rodrigues R. , Saydee C. ,
  • 86', Tilley J. , Asiimwe N. ,
  • 88', Taylor J. 🟨,
  • 90', 0 - 1, Hackford A. , Nelson Z. (A),
  • 90+5', Fox M. , Robinson L. ,
  • 90+7', Aimson W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wigan Athletic
42.8%
Draw
28.2%
AFC Wimbledon
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 28.5% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 26.9% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Wigan Athletic - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.01)
    3.3
    (3.28)
    3.24
    (3.72)
    6.6%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wigan Athletic - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: Wigan Athletic will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wigan Athletic will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 3.
    • Wigan is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Wimbledon is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Wigan might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Wigan: Adeeko B. (Inactive) Francois T. (Inactive) Hunt J. (Injury) Llyton C. (Inactive) Mabaya I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McHugh H. (Inactive) Rogers J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: Stevens M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Bugiel O. (Inactive) Hippolyte M. (Inactive) Lewis J. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Wigan will win today's game, with odds of 2.2.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wigan Athletic - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    22.11.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Wigan Athletic 1:2
    Latest results of Wigan Athletic
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two