Bastia vs Ajaccio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
11/01/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 18
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.900.58
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
137
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
52
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
22
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
1012
Offsides
73
Fouls
1210
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1621
Touches in the Opposition Box
269
Passes
87% (401/461)76% (241/317)
Passes in the final third
62% (62/100)53% (32/60)
Crosses
10% (1/10)22% (2/9)
Tackles
68% (17/25)71% (10/14)
Clearances Total
1913
Interceptions
712

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 16', Ayessa J. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Ducrocq T. (Pen),
  • 20', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Tomi F. , Tramoni L. (A),
  • 37', Chegra I. 🟨,
  • 40', 3 - 0, Cisse L. , Ducrocq T. (A),
  • 42', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kante A. , Anziani J. ,
  • 46', Puch-Herrantz M. , Strata T. ,
  • 60', Chegra I. , Jacob V. ,
  • 68', 4 - 0, Tramoni L. , Cisse L. (A),
  • 70', Cisse L. , Ble M. ,
  • 70', Ibayi C. , Soumano M. ,
  • 71', Ducrocq T. , Maggiotti J. ,
  • 80', Tomi F. , Rodrigues C. ,
  • 80', Janneh J. , Etoga L. ,
  • 80', Ariss Z. , Bohnert F. ,
  • 89', Ble M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bastia
55.3%
Draw
27.8%
Ajaccio
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 26.6% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 25% 15.3%

Bastia - Ajaccio Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.64)
3.36
(3.53)
5.58
(5.75)
6.4%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bastia - Ajaccio?
  • Users Predictions: Bastia will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3.
    • Recent matches Bastia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ajaccio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Bastia is a favorite.
    • There are questionable in Ajaccio: Campanini T. (Injury) Jabol-Folcarelli T. (Leg Injury) Mangani T. (Injury) Strata T. (Injury) Toure B. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Bastia won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 0.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Ajaccio were as follows:
    03.12.2024 Ajaccio - Bastia 0:0
    05.02.2024 Bastia - Ajaccio 1:0
    02.10.2023 Ajaccio - Bastia 2:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    03.01.2025 Grenoble - Bastia 3:2
    20.12.2024 Bastia - Saint-Joseph 5:0
    13.12.2024 Bastia - Guingamp 3:1
    06.12.2024 Red Star - Bastia 0:0
    03.12.2024 Ajaccio - Bastia 0:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    03.01.2025 Ajaccio - Annecy 1:2
    13.12.2024 Pau - Ajaccio 1:0
    07.12.2024 Ajaccio - Paris FC 0:2
    03.12.2024 Ajaccio - Bastia 0:0
    25.11.2024 Dunkerque - Ajaccio 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes18115231:161538
    2Reims1895434:211332
    3Red Star1895424:16832
    4St Etienne1894535:251031
    5Le Mans1887322:17531
    6Dunkerque1886432:201230
    7Pau FC1876526:28-227
    8Guingamp1875628:30-226
    9Montpellier1874719:19025
    10Annecy1864822:20222
    11Clermont1857620:22-222
    12Rodez1857621:26-522
    13Grenoble1856719:22-321
    14Nancy1863917:23-621
    15Amiens18531022:28-618
    16Boulogne18441018:29-1116
    17Laval1836914:26-1215
    18Bastia1825119:25-1611

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National