Result
4:0
11/01/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.90 | 0.58 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
13 | 7 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 12 |
Offsides |
---|
7 | 3 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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16 | 21 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
26 | 9 |
Passes |
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87% (401/461) | 76% (241/317) |
Passes in the final third |
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62% (62/100) | 53% (32/60) |
Crosses |
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10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) |
Tackles |
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68% (17/25) | 71% (10/14) |
Clearances Total |
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19 | 13 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 16', Ayessa J. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Ducrocq T. (Pen),
- 20', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
- 23', 2 - 0, Tomi F. ⚽, Tramoni L. (A),
- 37', Chegra I. 🟨,
- 40', 3 - 0, Cisse L. ⚽, Ducrocq T. (A),
- 42', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kante A. ↓, Anziani J. ↑,
- 46', Puch-Herrantz M. ↓, Strata T. ↑,
- 60', Chegra I. ↓, Jacob V. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 0, Tramoni L. ⚽, Cisse L. (A),
- 70', Cisse L. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 70', Ibayi C. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
- 71', Ducrocq T. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
- 80', Tomi F. ↓, Rodrigues C. ↑,
- 80', Janneh J. ↓, Etoga L. ↑,
- 80', Ariss Z. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
- 89', Ble M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bastia 55.3% | Draw 27.8% | Ajaccio 16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Bastia - Ajaccio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↑ (1.64) |
3.36 ↓ (3.53) |
5.58 ↓ (5.75) |
6.4% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bastia - Ajaccio?
Users Predictions:
Bastia will win
(26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3.
- Recent matches Bastia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ajaccio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Bastia is a favorite.
- There are questionable in Ajaccio: Campanini T.
(Injury)
Jabol-Folcarelli T.
(Leg Injury)
Mangani T.
(Injury)
Strata T.
(Injury)
Toure B.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Bastia won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 0.8:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Ajaccio?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Bastia?
Ajaccio has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Ajaccio were as follows:
03.12.2024
Ajaccio
-
Bastia
0:0
05.02.2024
Bastia
-
Ajaccio
1:0
02.10.2023
Ajaccio
-
Bastia
2:0
Latest results of Ajaccio
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National