Result
4:0
11/01/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (401/461) | 76% (241/317) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 62% (62/100) | 53% (32/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 71% (10/14) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 16', Ayessa J. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Ducrocq T. (Pen),
- 20', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
- 23', 2 - 0, Tomi F. ⚽, Tramoni L. (A),
- 37', Chegra I. 🟨,
- 40', 3 - 0, Cisse L. ⚽, Ducrocq T. (A),
- 42', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kante A. ↓, Anziani J. ↑,
- 46', Puch-Herrantz M. ↓, Strata T. ↑,
- 60', Chegra I. ↓, Jacob V. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 0, Tramoni L. ⚽, Cisse L. (A),
- 70', Cisse L. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 70', Ibayi C. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
- 71', Ducrocq T. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
- 80', Tomi F. ↓, Rodrigues C. ↑,
- 80', Janneh J. ↓, Etoga L. ↑,
- 80', Ariss Z. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
- 89', Ble M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bastia
55.3% | Draw
27.8% | Ajaccio
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Bastia - Ajaccio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.64) |
3.36 ↓
(3.53) |
5.58 ↓
(5.75) |
6.4%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bastia - Ajaccio?
Users Predictions:
Bastia will win
(26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3.
- Recent matches Bastia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ajaccio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Bastia is a favorite.
- There are questionable in Ajaccio: Campanini T.
(Injury)
Jabol-Folcarelli T.
(Leg Injury)
Mangani T.
(Injury)
Strata T.
(Injury)
Toure B.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Bastia won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 0.8:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Ajaccio?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Bastia?
Ajaccio has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Ajaccio were as follows:
03.12.2024
Ajaccio
-
Bastia
0:0
05.02.2024
Bastia
-
Ajaccio
1:0
02.10.2023
Ajaccio
-
Bastia
2:0
Latest results of Ajaccio
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 44:27 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 37:26 | 11 | 47 |
| 4 | Red Star | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 44 |
| 5 | Reims | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Rodez | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 34:32 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 38:38 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 33 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:46 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 20 |
| 18 | Bastia | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
