Result
4:0
30/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 2
- Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7 |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 5 |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | Sky Sport 257 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 3 |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 8 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (417/480) | 88% (455/518) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (417/480) | 88% (455/518) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (15/37) | 60% (29/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (35/51) | 70% (80/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | -2.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Paixao I. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
- 12', 2 - 0, Paixao I. ⚽, Vermeeren A. (A),
- 23', Regeer Y. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
- 26', 3 - 0, Greenwood M. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
- 34', Rosa L. 🟨,
- 36', Medina F. ↓, Egan-Riley C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nadir B. ↓, Weah T. ↑,
- 46', Berghuis S. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
- 52', 4 - 0, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Paixao I. (A),
- 55', Wijndal O. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
- 55', Baas Y. ↓, Sutalo J. ↑,
- 62', Paixao I. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 62', O'Riley M. ↓, Hojbjerg P. ↑,
- 66', Itakura K. 🟨,
- 76', Gaaei A. 🟨,
- 79', Hojbjerg P. 🟨,
- 82', Vermeeren A. ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
- 84', Godts M. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
- 85', Aguerd N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille
79.2% | Draw
15.7% | Ajax
5.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympique Marseille's performance.Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-19.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympique Marseille that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+13%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Olympique Marseille - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.58) |
8.08 ↑
(4.44) |
26.69 ↑
(5.34) |
-13.6%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
83 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 72 - 86.7%). Ajax will win (votes: 6 - 7.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 79.4% – 94%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.25 - Marseille (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Ajax (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Ajax (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Ajax (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Marseille (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Ajax (4.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 42 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 34 - 81%). Ajax (votes: 4 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 9.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marseille is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R.
(Inactive)
Kondogbia G.
(Calf Injury)
Lirola P.
(Inactive)
Traore H. J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Ajax: Dolberg K.
(Abdominal strain)
McConnell J.
(Health problems)
Weghorst W.
(Knock)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Bakola D.
(Inactive)
Balerdi L.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 3:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Ajax?
Olympique Marseille has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Olympique Marseille?
Ajax has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Ajax were as follows:
30.11.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Ajax
4:3
21.09.2023
Ajax
-
Olympique Marseille
3:3
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 3 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 6 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
