Result
4:3
30/11/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Belgium | VOOsport |
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports |
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille
62.6% | Draw
20.5% | Ajax
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Olympique Marseille - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.65) |
4.71 ↑
(4.16) |
5.7 ↑
(4.9) |
4.1%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
Olympique Marseille will win
(59 of 72 users predict this - 81.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.05% – 90.83%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Marseille is a favorite.
- There will not play in Marseille: Gueye P.
(Suspended)
Rongier V.
(Knee Injury)
Ruiz P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ajax: Pasveer R.
(Knee Injury)
Sutalo J.
(Health problems)
Vos S.
(Health problems)
van den Boomen B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Brobbey B.
(Illness)
Gorter J.
(Injury)
Mannsverk S.
(Leg Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Ajax?
Olympique Marseille has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Olympique Marseille?
Ajax has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Ajax were as follows:
21.09.2023
Ajax
-
Olympique Marseille
3:3
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 3 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Hibernian | |
| 5 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 9 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 10 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Ostrava | Bye | |
| 12 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Lugano | Bye | |
| 14 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Braga | |
| 19 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Utrecht | |
| 21 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
| 22 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Besiktas | Bye | |
| 28 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 2 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 5 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Ostrava | Legia | 2 : 2 |
| 7 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Levski Sofia | Braga | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | Hacken | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals
