Olympique Marseille vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Olympique Marseille - Ajax
Result
4:0
30/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 5
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalySky Sport 257
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 3
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.72
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
07
Passes
87% (417/480)88% (455/518)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.920.75
Total shots
913
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
07
Touches in opposition box
919
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
87% (417/480)88% (455/518)
Long passes
41% (15/37)60% (29/48)
Passes in final third
69% (35/51)70% (80/114)
Crosses
0% (0/4)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.77
Throw-ins
1216
Fouls
1812
Tackles
64% (7/11)50% (4/8)
Duels won
3238
Clearances
2211
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.751.92
Goals prevented
0.75-2.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Paixao I. , Aubameyang P. (A),
  • 12', 2 - 0, Paixao I. , Vermeeren A. (A),
  • 23', Regeer Y. , Mokio J. ,
  • 26', 3 - 0, Greenwood M. , Aubameyang P. (A),
  • 34', Rosa L. 🟨,
  • 36', Medina F. , Egan-Riley C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nadir B. , Weah T. ,
  • 46', Berghuis S. , Edvardsen O. ,
  • 52', 4 - 0, Aubameyang P. , Paixao I. (A),
  • 55', Wijndal O. , Gaaei A. ,
  • 55', Baas Y. , Sutalo J. ,
  • 62', Paixao I. , Gomes A. ,
  • 62', O'Riley M. , Hojbjerg P. ,
  • 66', Itakura K. 🟨,
  • 76', Gaaei A. 🟨,
  • 79', Hojbjerg P. 🟨,
  • 82', Vermeeren A. , Murillo M. ,
  • 84', Godts M. , Moro R. ,
  • 85', Aguerd N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
79.2%
Draw
15.7%
Ajax
5.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 21.6% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8% 21.4% 18.1%

Olympique Marseille - Ajax Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.42
(1.58)
8.08
(4.44)
26.69
(5.34)
-13.6%
(4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 72 - 86.7%). Ajax will win (votes: 6 - 7.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 79.4%94%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Marseille is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Inactive) Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Lirola P. (Inactive) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Dolberg K. (Abdominal strain) McConnell J. (Health problems) Weghorst W. (Knock) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Bakola D. (Inactive) Balerdi L. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 3:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Ajax were as follows:
    30.11.2023 Olympique Marseille - Ajax 4:3
    21.09.2023 Ajax - Olympique Marseille 3:3
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Ajax
    27.09.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 2:1
    21.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 2:2
    17.09.2025 Ajax - Inter Milan 0:2
    13.09.2025 Ajax - Zwolle 3:1
    30.08.2025 Volendam - Ajax 1:1
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG330013:3109
    2Bayern Munich330012:2109
    3Inter33009:099
    4Arsenal33008:089
    5Real Madrid33008:179
    6Dortmund321012:757
    7Manchester City32106:247
    8Newcastle32018:266
    9Barcelona32019:456
    10Liverpool32018:446
    11Chelsea32017:436
    12Sporting CP32017:436
    13Qarabag32016:516
    14Galatasaray32015:6-16
    15Tottenham31203:215
    16PSV31118:624
    17Atalanta31112:5-34
    18Marseille31026:423
    19Atl. Madrid31027:8-13
    20Club Brugge KV31025:7-23
    21Ath Bilbao31024:7-33
    22Eintracht Frankfurt31027:11-43
    23Napoli31024:9-53
    24Royale Union SG31023:9-63
    25Juventus30216:7-12
    26Bodo/Glimt30215:7-22
    27Monaco30213:6-32
    28Slavia Prague30212:5-32
    29Pafos30211:5-42
    30Bayer Leverkusen30215:10-52
    31Villarreal30122:5-31
    32FC Copenhagen30124:8-41
    33Olympiacos Piraeus30121:8-71
    34Kairat Almaty30121:9-81
    35Benfica30032:7-50
    36Ajax30031:11-100

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