Olympique Marseille vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Olympique Marseille - Ajax
Result
4:3
30/11/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumVOOsport
brazilBrazilESPN 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
finlandFinlandViaplay
italyItalySky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
62.6%
Draw
20.5%
Ajax
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 22.8% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 22.1% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Olympique Marseille - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.65)
    4.71
    (4.16)
    5.7
    (4.9)
    4.1%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (59 of 72 users predict this - 81.94%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.05%90.83%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Marseille is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Gueye P. (Suspended) Rongier V. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Pasveer R. (Knee Injury) Sutalo J. (Health problems) Vos S. (Health problems) van den Boomen B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Brobbey B. (Illness) Gorter J. (Injury) Mannsverk S. (Leg Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Ajax were as follows:
    21.09.2023 Ajax - Olympique Marseille 3:3
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Ajax
    25.11.2023 Ajax - Vitesse 5:0
    12.11.2023 Almere City - Ajax 2:2
    05.11.2023 Ajax - Heerenveen 4:1
    02.11.2023 Ajax - Volendam 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian1 : 1
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 1
    6OstravaLegia2 : 2
    7LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 0
    8Levski SofiaBraga0 : 0
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 3
    11AnderlechtHacken1 : 0
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadTBD #2
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5ByeTBD #10
    6TBD #11Bye
    7ByeTBD #14