Result
3:1
23/02/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
- Referee: Del Cerro C. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Union Berlin
41.4% | Draw
29.9% | Ajax
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Union Berlin - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.42) |
3.2 ↓
(3.32) |
3.36 ↑
(3.05) |
4.2%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
80 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 49 - 61.3%). Ajax will win (votes: 18 - 22.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 50.6% – 72%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Union Berlin was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (39%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%), has currently - 12, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- Ajax was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (61%), has a chance of qtrs (42%), has a chance of semis (26%), has a small chance of final (15%), has a small chance of win league (8%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- This event has big quality 75, big importance 80, big match rating 77. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Union Berlin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ajax in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Union Berlin will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Union Berlin: Schafer A.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Union Berlin: Busk J.
(Illness)
Leite D.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Kaplan A.
(Knee Injury)
Sanchez J.
(Knock)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Ajax?
Union Berlin has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Union Berlin?
Ajax has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Ajax were as follows:
16.02.2023
Ajax
-
Union Berlin
0:0
Latest results of Union Berlin
UEFA Europa League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Midtjylland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Braga | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | D. Zagreb | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Plzen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Ferencvaros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Brann | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Porto | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Betis | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Genk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 20 | PAOK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 21 | Celtic | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 22 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
| 23 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 24 | Basel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 | Ludogorets | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 27 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | FCSB | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 29 | Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 30 | Crvena zvezda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Malmo FF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 33 | Nice | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Salzburg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | Rangers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
