Union Berlin vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Union Berlin - Ajax
Result
3:1
23/02/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Del Cerro C. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
41.4%
Draw
29.9%
Ajax
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 28.9% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 28.1% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Union Berlin - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.42)
    3.2
    (3.32)
    3.36
    (3.05)
    4.2%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 49 - 61.3%). Ajax will win (votes: 18 - 22.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 16.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 50.6%72%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Union Berlin was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (39%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%), has currently - 12, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
    • Ajax was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (61%), has a chance of qtrs (42%), has a chance of semis (26%), has a small chance of final (15%), has a small chance of win league (8%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
    • This event has big quality 75, big importance 80, big match rating 77. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Union Berlin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ajax in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Union Berlin will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Schafer A. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Busk J. (Illness) Leite D. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Kaplan A. (Knee Injury) Sanchez J. (Knock)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Ajax were as follows:
    16.02.2023 Ajax - Union Berlin 0:0
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    19.02.2023 Union Berlin - Schalke 04 0:0
    16.02.2023 Ajax - Union Berlin 0:0
    11.02.2023 RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 1:2
    04.02.2023 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:1
    31.01.2023 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 2:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    19.02.2023 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 4:0
    16.02.2023 Ajax - Union Berlin 0:0
    12.02.2023 Ajax - Waalwijk 3:1
    09.02.2023 Twente - Ajax 0:1
    05.02.2023 Cambuur - Ajax 0:5
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

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