Result
3:1
23/02/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
- Referee: Del Cerro C. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Union Berlin
41.4% | Draw
29.9% | Ajax
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Union Berlin - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.42) |
3.2 ↓
(3.32) |
3.36 ↑
(3.05) |
4.2%
(4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
80 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 49 - 61.3%). Ajax will win (votes: 18 - 22.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 50.6% – 72%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Union Berlin was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (39%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%), has currently - 12, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- Ajax was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (61%), has a chance of qtrs (42%), has a chance of semis (26%), has a small chance of final (15%), has a small chance of win league (8%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- This event has big quality 75, big importance 80, big match rating 77. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Union Berlin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ajax in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Union Berlin will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Union Berlin: Schafer A.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Union Berlin: Busk J.
(Illness)
Leite D.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Kaplan A.
(Knee Injury)
Sanchez J.
(Knock)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Ajax?
Union Berlin has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Union Berlin?
Ajax has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Ajax were as follows:
16.02.2023
Ajax
-
Union Berlin
0:0
Latest results of Union Berlin
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 3 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Hibernian | |
| 5 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 9 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 10 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Ostrava | Bye | |
| 12 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Lugano | Bye | |
| 14 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Braga | |
| 19 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Utrecht | |
| 21 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
| 22 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Besiktas | Bye | |
| 28 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 2 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 5 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Ostrava | Legia | 2 : 2 |
| 7 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Levski Sofia | Braga | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | Hacken | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals
