Result
3:2
11/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | Q Sport Asia |
Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.53 | 2.61 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 28 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 10 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
71% (237/333) | 75% (209/277) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.53 | 2.61 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.16 | 3.39 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 28 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 10 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 11 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 22 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
32 | 43 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 23 |
Passes |
---|
71% (237/333) | 75% (209/277) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (32/69) | 41% (22/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (71/112) | 70% (79/113) |
Crosses |
---|
42% (8/19) | 34% (10/29) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.01 | 2.26 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
23 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
81% (13/16) | 36% (4/11) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 64 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
8 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.39 | 2.16 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.39 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Talal A. ⚽, Melkadze G. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Pestryakov D. ⚽,
- 21', Bakaev S. 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Djakovac I. ⚽, Dzyuba A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Vasyutin A. ↓, Volkov S. ↑,
- 59', Bakaev S. ↓, Khubulov V. ↑,
- 59', Pestryakov D. ↓, Benchimol ↑,
- 61', Benchimol 🟨,
- 69', Talal A. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Melkadze G. ⚽, Samorodov M. (A),
- 73', Ibishev T. ↓, Satara M. ↑,
- 73', Samorodov M. ↓, Kharin E. ↑,
- 73', Bogosavac M. ↓, Todorovic D. ↑,
- 74', Loncar S. ↓, Escoval R. ↑,
- 75', Silva I. 🟨,
- 79', Savichev K. 🟨,
- 81', Savichev K. ↓, Bardybakhin V. ↑,
- 84', Kharin E. 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 2, Khubulov V. ⚽, Benchimol (A),
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+6', Benchimol 🟨,
Chances of winning
Akron Tolyatti 31.4% | Draw 28.2% | Akhmat Grozny 40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akron Tolyatti's form might have worsened.Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akron Tolyatti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.09 ↑ (2.64) |
3.44 ↓ (3.63) |
2.4 ↓ (2.77) |
3.1% (1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Akron (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Akhmat (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Akron Tolyatti will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- Akron has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Akhmat is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Akhmat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Akhmat: Shvets A.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Akron won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Akhmat Grozny?
Akron Tolyatti has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Akron Tolyatti?
Akhmat Grozny has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
31.08.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Akron Tolyatti
0:0
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL