Akron Tolyatti vs Akhmat Grozny – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny
Result
3:2
11/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 28
  • Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Sport Asia
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.532.61
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1528
Shots on target
710
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
710
Passes
71% (237/333)75% (209/277)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.532.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.163.39
Total shots
1528
Shots on target
710
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
1122
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
710
Touches in opposition box
3243
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
723
Passes
71% (237/333)75% (209/277)
Long passes
46% (32/69)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
63% (71/112)70% (79/113)
Crosses
42% (8/19)34% (10/29)
Expected assists (xA)
2.012.26
Throw-ins
1120
Fouls
237
Tackles
81% (13/16)36% (4/11)
Duels won
6064
Clearances
3232
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
84
xGOT faced
3.392.16
Goals prevented
1.39-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Talal A. , Melkadze G. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Pestryakov D. ,
  • 21', Bakaev S. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Djakovac I. , Dzyuba A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Vasyutin A. , Volkov S. ,
  • 59', Bakaev S. , Khubulov V. ,
  • 59', Pestryakov D. , Benchimol ,
  • 61', Benchimol 🟨,
  • 69', Talal A. , Ruiz Diaz R. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Melkadze G. , Samorodov M. (A),
  • 73', Ibishev T. , Satara M. ,
  • 73', Samorodov M. , Kharin E. ,
  • 73', Bogosavac M. , Todorovic D. ,
  • 74', Loncar S. , Escoval R. ,
  • 75', Silva I. 🟨,
  • 79', Savichev K. 🟨,
  • 81', Savichev K. , Bardybakhin V. ,
  • 84', Kharin E. 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 2, Khubulov V. , Benchimol (A),
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+6', Benchimol 🟨,

Chances of winning


Akron Tolyatti
31.4%
Draw
28.2%
Akhmat Grozny
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 27.1% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 27.2% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akron Tolyatti's form might have worsened.
  • Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akron Tolyatti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.64)
    3.44
    (3.63)
    2.4
    (2.77)
    3.1%
    (1.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Akron (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Akhmat (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Akron Tolyatti will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
    • Akron has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Akhmat is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Akhmat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Akhmat: Shvets A. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Akron won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Akron Tolyatti 0:0
    Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
    Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow11003:033
    2Krasnodar11003:033
    3Rubin Kazan11002:023
    4Zenit11002:113
    5Spartak Moscow11001:013
    6Baltika10101:101
    7Dynamo Moscow10101:101
    8Krylya Sovetov10101:101
    9Akron Togliatti10101:101
    10Orenburg10100:001
    11CSKA Moscow10100:001
    12FK Rostov10011:2-10
    13Dynamo Makhachkala10010:1-10
    14Akhmat Grozny10010:2-20
    15Pari NN10010:3-30
    16Sochi10010:3-30

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL