Result
3:0
27/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 10
- Referee: Kukulyak E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (301/381) | 79% (282/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.30 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (301/381) | 79% (282/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (36/71) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (64/96) | 62% (68/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 3.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Cacintura E. ⚽, Melkadze G. (A),
- 43', Escoval R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Escoval R. ↓, Khosonov K. ↑,
- 46', Maradishvili K. ↓, Agapov I. ↑,
- 56', Sadulaev L. 🟨,
- 65', Samorodov M. ↓, Zhemaletdinov R. ↑,
- 65', Sadulaev L. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 65', Kuzmin M. ↓, Loncar S. ↑,
- 65', Djakovac I. ↓, Bakaev S. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Mansilla B. ⚽, Keliano M. (A),
- 74', Keliano M. ↓, Ibishev T. ↑,
- 79', Fernandez R. ↓, Benchimol ↑,
- 83', Sidorov M. 🟨,
- 84', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 0, Mansilla B. ⚽, Konate M. (A),
Chances of winning
Akhmat Grozny
55.7% | Draw
24.3% | Akron Tolyatti
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Akhmat Grozny - Akron Tolyatti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.76) |
3.96 ↑
(3.7) |
4.8 ↑
(4.2) |
4.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - Akron Tolyatti?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Akhmat (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Akhmat (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Akhmat Grozny will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Akhmat (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- Recent performances by Akhmat have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Akron has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Akhmat is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Akron: Bokoev M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Akhmat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Akron Tolyatti?
Akhmat Grozny has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Akhmat Grozny?
Akron Tolyatti has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Akron Tolyatti were as follows:
11.05.2025
Akron Tolyatti
-
Akhmat Grozny
3:2
31.08.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Akron Tolyatti
0:0
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
