Result
3:2
11/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (237/333) | 75% (209/277) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 3.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (237/333) | 75% (209/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (32/69) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (71/112) | 70% (79/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 34% (10/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 2.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.39 | 2.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.39 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Talal A. ⚽, Melkadze G. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Pestryakov D. ⚽,
- 21', Bakaev S. 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Djakovac I. ⚽, Dzyuba A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Vasyutin A. ↓, Volkov S. ↑,
- 59', Bakaev S. ↓, Khubulov V. ↑,
- 59', Pestryakov D. ↓, Benchimol ↑,
- 61', Benchimol 🟨,
- 69', Talal A. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Melkadze G. ⚽, Samorodov M. (A),
- 73', Ibishev T. ↓, Satara M. ↑,
- 73', Samorodov M. ↓, Kharin E. ↑,
- 73', Bogosavac M. ↓, Todorovic D. ↑,
- 74', Loncar S. ↓, Escoval R. ↑,
- 75', Silva I. 🟨,
- 79', Savichev K. 🟨,
- 81', Savichev K. ↓, Bardybakhin V. ↑,
- 84', Kharin E. 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 2, Khubulov V. ⚽, Benchimol (A),
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+6', Benchimol 🟨,
Chances of winning
Akron Tolyatti
31.4% | Draw
28.2% | Akhmat Grozny
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akron Tolyatti's form might have worsened.Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akron Tolyatti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.64) |
3.44 ↓
(3.63) |
2.4 ↓
(2.77) |
3.1%
(1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Akron (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Akhmat (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Akron Tolyatti will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- Akron has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Akhmat is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Akhmat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Akhmat: Shvets A.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Akron won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Akhmat Grozny?
Akron Tolyatti has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Akron Tolyatti?
Akhmat Grozny has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
31.08.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Akron Tolyatti
0:0
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Baltika | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:11 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Zenit | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | FK Rostov | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Sochi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:19 | -15 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
