Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Bobrovsky Y. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (205/279) | 85% (413/488) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (205/279) | 85% (413/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (17/53) | 67% (35/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (49/77) | 67% (88/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Oroz D. 🟨,
- 5', 1 - 0, Cacintura E. ⚽,
- 22', Sadulaev L. 🟨,
- 27', Akhmetov I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Sutormin A. ↓, Rasskazov N. ↑,
- 49', Rahmanovic A. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 0, Konate M. (Pen),
- 60', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Oleynikov I. ↑,
- 64', Rasskazov N. 🟨,
- 65', Konate M. ↓, Melkadze G. ↑,
- 70', Pechenin K. ↓, Galdames T. ↑,
- 72', Galdames T. 🟨,
- 75', Sidorov M. 🟨,
- 79', 3 - 0, Cacintura E. ⚽,
- 83', Akhmetov I. ↓, Ignatenko V. ↑,
- 83', Rakov V. ↓, Marin J. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 1, Ignatenko V. ⚽, Soldatenkov A. (A),
- 88', Samorodov M. ↓, Gadzhiev A. ↑,
- 90+2', Cacintura E. ↓, Ibishev T. ↑,
- 90+4', Marin J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Akhmat Grozny
47.2% | Draw
27.7% | Krylya Sovetov
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akhmat Grozny's performance.Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krylya Sovetov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akhmat Grozny that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krylya Sovetov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Akhmat Grozny - Krylya Sovetov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.63) |
3.5 ↑
(3.42) |
3.87 ↑
(2.92) |
3.2%
(1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - Krylya Sovetov?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Akhmat (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Krylya Sovetov (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 3.
- Akhmat has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Krylya Sovetov is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Akhmat is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Babkin S.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Krylya Sovetov?
Akhmat Grozny has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Akhmat Grozny?
Krylya Sovetov has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Krylya Sovetov were as follows:
24.11.2024
Krylya Sovetov
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:1
23.09.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Krylya Sovetov
1:1
10.05.2024
Krylya Sovetov
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:2
04.10.2023
Krylya Sovetov
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:3
30.08.2023
Akhmat Grozny
-
Krylya Sovetov
3:1
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Baltika | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:11 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Zenit | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | FK Rostov | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Sochi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:19 | -15 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
