Krylya Sovetov vs Akhmat Grozny – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Samara Arena (Samara).

Premier League - Round 24
Referee: Bobrovskiy Y. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.91	1.29
Ball possession
61%	39%
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
6	3
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
11	4
Passes
84% (404/480)	77% (240/311)
Yellow cards
3	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.91	1.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.12	0.97
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked shots
1	2
Shots inside the box
7	7
Shots outside the box
2	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
11	4
Touches in opposition box
18	23
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
18	12
Passes
84% (404/480)	77% (240/311)
Long passes
59% (32/54)	42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
71% (87/122)	67% (62/92)
Crosses
20% (4/20)	42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	0.68
Throw ins
23	19
Fouls
12	18
Tackles
56% (9/16)	60% (18/30)
Duels won
44	59
Clearances
17	26
Interceptions
16	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.97	2.12
Goals prevented
-1.03	0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Rahmanovic A. ⚽, Vityugov M. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Melkadze G. ⚽, Samorodov M. (A),
33', Babkin S. 🟨,
40', 1 - 2, Cacintura E. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Samorodov M. 🟨,
45+3', Pechenin K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Babkin S. ↓, Banjac M. ↑,
62', Samorodov M. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
65', Marin J. ↓, Akhmetov I. ↑,
67', Oleynikov I. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Chernov N. ⚽, Banjac M. (A),
71', Sadulaev L. 🟨,
75', Gadio P. ↓, Kenzhebek G. ↑,
81', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Ignatenko V. ↑,
81', Vityugov M. ↓, Shumansky A. ↑,
82', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
82', Sadulaev L. ↓, Ibishev T. ↑,
88', Oleynikov I. ↓, Khubulov V. ↑,
90+3', Kenzhebek G. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Krylya Sovetov
33.8%

Draw
28%

Akhmat Grozny
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.5%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.8%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akhmat Grozny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Krylya Sovetov - Akhmat Grozny Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.15)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	2.52 ↑ (2.18)	3.8% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Krylya Sovetov - Akhmat Grozny?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Akhmat will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 1.
Krylya Sovetov is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Akhmat has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Akhmat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Rakov V. (Foot Injury)
There will not play in Akhmat: Silva I. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Krylya Sovetov: Geoffrey C. (Injury)
There are questionable in Akhmat: Sadulaev L. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.8:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Akhmat Grozny?

Krylya Sovetov has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Krylya Sovetov?

Akhmat Grozny has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Krylya Sovetov - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:

16.08.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Krylya Sovetov 3:1

24.11.2024 Krylya Sovetov - Akhmat Grozny 2:1

23.09.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Krylya Sovetov 1:1

10.05.2024 Krylya Sovetov - Akhmat Grozny 0:2

04.10.2023 Krylya Sovetov - Akhmat Grozny 0:3

Latest results of Krylya Sovetov

04.04.2026 Zenit - Krylya Sovetov 2:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Krylya Sovetov - Rubin Kazan 0:0 ✺

19.03.2026 Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow 3:2 ✺

15.03.2026 Pari NN - Krylya Sovetov 3:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Akhmat Grozny

04.04.2026 Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar 0:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Akhmat Grozny - Rostov 1:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny 1:1 ✺

09.03.2026 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny 2:2 ✺

01.03.2026 Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow 1:0 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	27	18	6	3	55:21	34	60
2	Zenit	27	17	8	2	47:17	30	59
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	27	13	10	4	51:35	16	49
4	Spartak Moscow	27	14	6	7	44:36	8	48
5	Baltika	27	11	13	3	37:17	20	46
6	CSKA Moscow	27	13	6	8	38:28	10	45
7	Rubin Kazan	27	10	9	8	25:26	-1	39
8	Dynamo Moscow	27	10	8	9	46:37	9	38
9	Akhmat Grozny	27	8	8	11	31:37	-6	32
10	Akron Togliatti	27	6	9	12	33:45	-12	27
11	FK Rostov	27	6	9	12	20:29	-9	27
12	Orenburg	27	6	8	13	27:38	-11	26
13	Krylya Sovetov	27	6	8	13	29:47	-18	26
14	Dynamo Makhachkala	27	5	9	13	17:34	-17	24
15	Pari NN	27	6	4	17	23:44	-21	22
16	Sochi	27	5	3	19	24:56	-32	18

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL