Result
1:0
26/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Referee: Shadyhanov P. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (119/208) | 82% (428/523) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (119/208) | 82% (428/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (24/69) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 68% (128/187) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.13 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Ghandri N. 🟨,
- 17', Silva I. 🟨,
- 31', Troshechkin A. 🟨,
- 42', Maiga M. 🟨,
- 45+7', 1 - 0, Boselli J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Berisha B. ↓, Talal A. ↑,
- 46', Zorin D. ↓, Samorodov M. ↑,
- 60', Agapov I. 🟨,
- 65', Vecino T. 🟨,
- 68', Troshechkin A. ↓, Karapuzov V. ↑,
- 68', Vecino T. ↓, Grulev V. ↑,
- 71', Kamilov V. ↓, Divanovic Z. ↑,
- 77', Ibishev T. ↓, Zhirov A. ↑,
- 84', Melkadze G. 🟨,
- 86', Silva I. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
- 90+3', Boselli J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Boselli J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 90+3', Ektov A. ↓, Magkeev S. ↑,
- 90+8', Karapuzov V. 🟨,
- 90+13', Ghandri N. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Pari NN
27.2% | Draw
29% | Akhmat Grozny
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pari NN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pari NN than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Pari NN - Akhmat Grozny Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↑
(3.42) |
3.22 ↓
(3.43) |
2.13 ↓
(2.32) |
7.1%
(1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pari NN - Akhmat Grozny?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Pari NN will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Akhmat will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Akhmat: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Akhmat Grozny will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Pari NN won 2.
- Pari NN has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Akhmat is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Akhmat could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Pari NN: Kakkoev N.
(Red Card)
Kalinski N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Akhmat: Shvets A.
(Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Pari NN won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.6:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pari NN won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pari NN won against Akhmat Grozny?
Pari NN has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Pari NN?
Akhmat Grozny has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pari NN - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
03.11.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Pari NN
0:2
19.09.2024
Pari NN
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:2
31.07.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Pari NN
4:1
28.04.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Pari NN
5:1
14.08.2023
Pari NN
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:0
Latest results of Pari NN
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
