Pari NN vs Akhmat Grozny – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Pari NN - Akhmat Grozny
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ League Asia, Q Sport Asia
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.40
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
77% (263/341)80% (279/349)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.812.10
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1127
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1720
Passes
77% (263/341)80% (279/349)
Long passes
38% (18/47)63% (40/64)
Passes in final third
64% (52/81)67% (70/105)
Crosses
27% (4/15)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.290.57
Throw-ins
819
Fouls
2017
Tackles
59% (13/22)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5861
Clearances
3221
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.100.81
Goals prevented
0.10-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', Kakkoev N. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Ndong O. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Shnaptsev M. , Smelov E. ,
  • 46', Ticic L. , Koledin Y. ,
  • 46', Ivlev A. , Ermakov N. ,
  • 47', Karic S. 🟨,
  • 53', Karic S. , Aleksandrov V. ,
  • 63', Lesovoy D. , Cephas R. ,
  • 65', Samorodov M. , Zhemaletdinov R. ,
  • 66', Melkadze G. 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Boselli J. ,
  • 72', Ibishev T. , Keliano M. ,
  • 90', Sadulaev L. , El Mahraoui A. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Keliano M. ,

Chances of winning


Pari NN
25.4%
Draw
27.9%
Akhmat Grozny
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 26.6% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 26.1% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pari NN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pari NN than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Pari NN - Akhmat Grozny Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (3.3)
    3.42
    (3.5)
    2.05
    (2.06)
    4.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 2.
    • Pari NN is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Akhmat has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Pari NN may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Akhmat might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A. (Knee Injury) Krashevskiy Y. (Red Card) Tsarukyan V. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Akhmat: Ibishev T. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pari NN won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pari NN - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Pari NN - Akhmat Grozny 1:0
    03.11.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Pari NN 0:2
    19.09.2024 Pari NN - Akhmat Grozny 1:2
    31.07.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Pari NN 4:1
    28.04.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Pari NN 5:1
    Latest results of Pari NN
    13.09.2025 Pari NN - Orenburg 3:1
    30.08.2025 Zenit - Pari NN 2:0
    26.08.2025 Spartak Moscow - Pari NN 4:0
    23.08.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Pari NN 3:0
    Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
    17.09.2025 Zenit - Akhmat Grozny 2:1
    30.08.2025 Rostov - Akhmat Grozny 1:1
    22.08.2025 Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny 2:2
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSKA Moscow1173122:101224
    2Lokomotiv Moscow1165026:161023
    3Krasnodar1172222:71523
    4Zenit1155121:101120
    5Spartak Moscow1153319:17218
    6Rubin Kazan1153315:15018
    7Baltika1045113:6717
    8Dynamo Moscow1143418:17115
    9Akhmat Grozny1143414:13115
    10FK Rostov113449:12-313
    11Krylya Sovetov1133516:21-512
    12Dynamo Makhachkala102445:11-610
    13Akron Togliatti1115513:18-58
    14Orenburg1114613:22-97
    15Pari NN112099:22-136
    16Sochi111287:25-185

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL