Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q League Asia, Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (263/341) | 80% (279/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (263/341) | 80% (279/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 63% (40/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (52/81) | 67% (70/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', Kakkoev N. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Ndong O. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Shnaptsev M. ↓, Smelov E. ↑,
- 46', Ticic L. ↓, Koledin Y. ↑,
- 46', Ivlev A. ↓, Ermakov N. ↑,
- 47', Karic S. 🟨,
- 53', Karic S. ↓, Aleksandrov V. ↑,
- 63', Lesovoy D. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
- 65', Samorodov M. ↓, Zhemaletdinov R. ↑,
- 66', Melkadze G. 🟨,
- 69', 1 - 1, Boselli J. ⚽,
- 72', Ibishev T. ↓, Keliano M. ↑,
- 90', Sadulaev L. ↓, El Mahraoui A. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Keliano M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pari NN
25.4% | Draw
27.9% | Akhmat Grozny
46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pari NN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pari NN than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Pari NN - Akhmat Grozny Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.75 ↑
(3.3) |
3.42 ↓
(3.5) |
2.05 ↓
(2.06) |
4.8%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 2.
- Pari NN is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Akhmat has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pari NN may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Akhmat might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A.
(Knee Injury)
Krashevskiy Y.
(Red Card)
Tsarukyan V.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Akhmat: Ibishev T.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pari NN won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pari NN won against Akhmat Grozny?
Pari NN has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Pari NN?
Akhmat Grozny has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pari NN - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
26.04.2025
Pari NN
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:0
03.11.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Pari NN
0:2
19.09.2024
Pari NN
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:2
31.07.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Pari NN
4:1
28.04.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Pari NN
5:1
Latest results of Pari NN
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25:7 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 30:17 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Zenit | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Baltika | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
