Akron Tolyatti vs Lokomotiv Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Cup Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow
Result
1:3
16/09/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Arena Asia
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
510
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
127
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Popenkov D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Ramirez C. , Lucas Fasson ,
  • 48', 0 - 1, Komlichenko N. , Sarveli V. (A),
  • 49', 0 - 2, Komlichenko N. , Lucas Fasson (A),
  • 58', Sevikyan E. , Bakaev S. ,
  • 59', Kuzmin M. , Bistrovic K. ,
  • 59', Savichev K. , Pestryakov D. ,
  • 59', Barinov D. , Karpukas A. ,
  • 59', Rudenko A. , Bakaev Z. ,
  • 66', Kuzmenko T. , Nedelcearu I. ,
  • 68', Sarveli V. , Vorobyev D. ,
  • 68', Komlichenko N. , Saltykov N. ,
  • 73', Khosonov K. , Loncar S. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Pestryakov D. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Khosonov K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Vorobyev D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 3, Popenkov D. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Akron Tolyatti
24.2%
Draw
22%
Lokomotiv Moscow
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.9% 20.4% 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22% 19.6% 59%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.93
    (4.1)
    4.33
    (4.6)
    1.77
    (1.65)
    5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiv (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Akron has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lokomotiv is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Akron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lokomotiv is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Lokomotiv will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akron won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Akron won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:
    28.08.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti 2:0
    24.05.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:4
    20.07.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti 3:2
    24.01.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti 0:2
    14.03.2023 Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow 2:1
    Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
    Russian Cup Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Zenit ✔ 4400012:512
    2Orenburg411025:85
    3Rubin Kazan410122:54
    4Akhmat Grozny410035:63


    Group B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Krasnodar4300111:59
    2Dynamo Moscow420117:67
    3Krylya Sovetov411114:46
    4Sochi401035:122


    Group C
    PlWWLLPts
    1Dynamo Makhachkala ✔ 431007:311
    2Spartak Moscow420118:37
    3Pari NN410032:73
    4FK Rostov410033:73


    Group D
    PlWWLLPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow430018:39
    2CSKA Moscow420206:38
    3Akron Togliatti411024:75
    4Baltika401032:72

          Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Play Offs: )
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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Zenit is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
    Dynamo Makhachkala is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )