Result
0:3
24/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Startimes Sports Life |
 Asia | JACO Middle East, SPOTV Asia |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | BandSports |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (274/324) | 79% (233/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 3.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (274/324) | 79% (233/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (21/41) | 59% (23/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (35/50) | 64% (64/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 40% (8/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.52 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Zeze N. 🟨,
- 45+1', Kessie F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 55', 0 - 1, Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Al Dawsari K. 🟥,
- 64', 0 - 2, Mahrez R. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
- 67', 0 - 3, Millot E. ⚽, Kessie F. (A),
- 68', Al Faraj S. 🟨,
- 72', Lacazette A. ↓, Benrahma S. ↑,
- 72', Al Faraj S. ↓, Hejji A. ↑,
- 72', Millot E. ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
- 73', Toney I. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
- 80', Al Burayk M. ↓, Hawsawi I. ↑,
- 81', Bouabre S. ↓, Noor A. ↑,
- 81', Hegazy A. ↓, Al Saluli A. ↑,
- 82', Al Hawsawi Z. 🟨,
- 83', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
- 84', Galeno ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 89', Majrashi A. 🟨,
- 90', Kessie F. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neom
20.8% | Draw
23.7% | Al-Ahli Jeddah
55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neom's form might have worsened.Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Neom - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.52 ↑
(3.22) |
3.94 ↑
(3.68) |
1.68 ↓
(2.05) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Neom - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Al-Ahli (1.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Al-Ahli (1.85) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.25 - Al-Ahli (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Al-Ahli (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Ahli Jeddah will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 16 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Neom is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Ahli is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Ahli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Neom won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Neom has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Neom?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neom - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
28.08.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Neom
1:0
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 62:18 | 44 | 58 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 54:21 | 33 | 53 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 34:39 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 27 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Hazem | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:43 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 30:41 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 10 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21:51 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
