Al-Gharafa vs Al-Nassr Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Al-Gharafa - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Result
1:3
25/11/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanArezo TV
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanySport 1+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena 2, Astro Go
mexicoMexicoESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
portugalPortugalCanal 11
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaTving
spainSpainLaLiga+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
33%67%
Goal Attempts
816
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
35
Free Kicks
1516
Corner Kicks
26
Offsides
12
Throw-ins
2823
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
1511
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
20
Total Passes
298585
Completed Passes
224500
Clearances Completed
2116
Crosses Completed
27
Interceptions
1613

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', 0 - 1, Ronaldo C. , Al Ghannam S. (A),
  • 58', 0 - 2, Angelo , Otavio (A),
  • 61', Sano S. 🟨,
  • 64', 0 - 3, Ronaldo C. , Angelo (A),
  • 66', Hamed J. , Boussafi R. ,
  • 74', Ronaldo C. , Wesley ,
  • 74', Simakan M. , Lajami A. ,
  • 74', Angelo , Ghareeb A. ,
  • 75', 1 - 3, Joselu ,
  • 83', Yousif A. , Muntari M. ,
  • 84', Sano S. 🟨,
  • 88', Brahimi Y. , Traore D. ,
  • 89', Al Ghannam S. , Al Najdi S. ,
  • 90+5', Otavio , Ali M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al-Gharafa
15.3%
Draw
19.9%
Al-Nassr Riyadh
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.6% 19.6% 67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7% 18% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Al-Gharafa - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.12
    (7.46)
    4.69
    (4.8)
    1.45
    (1.38)
    6.8%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 62.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Al-Gharafa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Al-Nassr have a series of home games.
    • In this match Al-Nassr is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    22.11.2024 Al-Gharafa - Al-Wakrah 3:1
    11.11.2024 Al-Khor - Al-Gharafa 3:0
    04.11.2024 Persepolis - Al-Gharafa 1:1
    31.10.2024 Al-Gharafa - Al-Arabi Doha 3:1
    27.10.2024 Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Pakhtakor (8)4 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Gwangju FC (4)Vissel Kobe (5)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    3Al Ahli SC (2)Al Rayyan (7)2 : 0, 3 : 1
    4Johor DT (3)Buriram (6)0 : 1, 0 : 0
    5Yokohama F. Marinos (1)Shanghai Port (8)4 : 1, 1 : 0
    6Al Nassr (3)Esteghlal F.C. (6)3 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Kawasaki Frontale (2)Shanghai Shenhua (7)4 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Al-Sadd (4)Al Wasl (5)3 : 1, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Gwangju FC (4)7 : 0
    2Al Ahli SC (2)Buriram (6)3 : 0
    3Yokohama F. Marinos (1)Al Nassr (3)1 : 4
    4Kawasaki Frontale (2)Al-Sadd (4)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Al Ahli SC (2)1 : 3
    2Al Nassr (3)Kawasaki Frontale (2)2 : 3

    Final
    1Al Ahli SC (2)Kawasaki Frontale (2)2 : 0