Result
1:3
29/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Afghanistan | Solh Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Finland | MTV Urheilu 3 |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Sportdigital+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Indonesia | MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+ |
 Iran | Persiana Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Matchday+, Premier Football |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Qatar | Al Kass Nine |
 Russia | Okko Sport, TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6, SportKlub 5 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 South-korea | Tving, tvN Sports |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Uzbekistan | MTRK Sport |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (207/286) | 67% (160/238) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 3.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (207/286) | 67% (160/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 45% (32/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (40/71) | 63% (66/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.41 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', Alioski E. 🟨,
- 5', Majrashi A. 🟨,
- 9', 0 - 1, Roberto Firmino ⚽, Galeno (A),
- 28', 0 - 2, Toney I. ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
- 42', 1 - 2, Al Dawsari S. ⚽,
- 45+6', Demiral M. 🟨,
- 45+9', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Al Shahrani Y. ↓, Al Yami H. ↑,
- 59', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
- 59', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
- 68', Kaio Cesar ↓, Tambakti H. ↑,
- 78', Mitrovic A. 🟨,
- 79', Al Dawsari S. 🟨,
- 84', Al Yami H. 🟨,
- 86', Kessie F. (Pen),
- 87', Neves R. 🟨,
- 88', Majrashi A. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
- 90+7', Roberto Firmino ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Al Buraikan F. ⚽,
- 90+10', Bono 🟨,
- 90+11', Galeno ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Hilal
38.7% | Draw
24.9% | Al-Ahli Jeddah
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Hilal's form might have worsened.Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+22.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Hilal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-17.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(1.72) |
3.77 ↓
(4) |
2.59 ↓
(4.61) |
6.3%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 3 - 60%). Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 4.
- Recent matches Al-Hilal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Al-Ahli is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Al-Hilal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Al-Hilal have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37:21 (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al-Hilal won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26:13 (average 2.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Hilal has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Hilal?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
28.02.2025
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2:3
05.10.2024
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Hilal
1:2
13.08.2024
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2:1
06.05.2024
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Hilal
1:2
27.10.2023
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3:1
Latest results of Al-Hilal
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Pakhtakor (8) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Gwangju FC (4) | Vissel Kobe (5) | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al Rayyan (7) | 2 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Johor DT (3) | Buriram (6) | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Shanghai Port (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Al Nassr (3) | Esteghlal F.C. (6) | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Shanghai Shenhua (7) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd (4) | Al Wasl (5) | 3 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Gwangju FC (4) | 7 : 0 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Buriram (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Al Nassr (3) | 1 : 4 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Al-Sadd (4) | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al Ahli SC (2) | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Al Nassr (3) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 0 |
