Result
2:1
09/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (315/382) | 81% (301/373) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (315/382) | 81% (301/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (25/61) | 58% (41/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (83/130) | 63% (58/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Moya J. ⚽, Kaabi N. (A),
- 38', Moya J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Al Malki M. ↓, Al Akouz S. S. ↑,
- 51', Al Eissa H. 🟨,
- 59', Al Harbi F. ↓, Cinari E. ↑,
- 59', Al Nuweqi H. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
- 59', Al Saeed S. ↓, Ashraf A. ↑,
- 62', Al Bukhari A. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 1, Novais J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 70', Pain C. ↓, Sharahili R. ↑,
- 70', Kaabi N. ↓, Al Qarani Y. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Toure C. ⚽,
- 83', Toure C. ↓, Al Shammari Z. ↑,
- 83', Al Eissa H. ↓, Owolabi A. ↑,
- 83', Fallatah S. ↓, bin Mohammed Mohammed M. b. O. ↑,
- 86', Pessoa P. ↓, Zaydan S. ↑,
- 89', Al Bukhari A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Jabalain
54.7% | Draw
25.5% | Al-Bukayriyah
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Jabalain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Al-Bukayriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Jabalain than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Al-Jabalain - Al-Bukayriyah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.65) |
3.61 ↑
(3.59) |
4.63 ↓
(4.77) |
8.9%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al-Jabalain - Al-Bukayriyah?
Users Predictions:
Al-Jabalain will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Jabalain will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Jabalain won 4.
- Al-Jabalain is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Bukayriyah is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Al-Jabalain is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Al-Jabalain will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Jabalain won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Jabalain won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Jabalain won against Al-Bukayriyah?
Al-Jabalain has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Bukayriyah won against Al-Jabalain?
Al-Bukayriyah has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Jabalain - Al-Bukayriyah were as follows:
04.10.2025
Al-Bukayriyah
-
Al-Jabalain
0:4
03.02.2025
Al-Bukayriyah
-
Al-Jabalain
0:1
01.09.2024
Al-Jabalain
-
Al-Bukayriyah
2:1
30.04.2024
Al-Bukayriyah
-
Al-Jabalain
1:0
11.12.2023
Al-Jabalain
-
Al-Bukayriyah
2:1
Latest results of Al-Jabalain
Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 53:20 | 33 | 62 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 56:24 | 32 | 52 |
| 3 | Al-Ula | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 51:25 | 26 | 49 |
| 4 | Al Jabalain | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 48:27 | 21 | 49 |
| 5 | Al-Faisaly | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 51:30 | 21 | 45 |
| 6 | Al Orubah | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 38 |
| 8 | Al Bukiryah | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 28:36 | -8 | 34 |
| 9 | Al Zulfi | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Al Wehda | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:43 | -4 | 32 |
| 11 | Al Taee | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Jeddah | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 31 |
| 13 | Al Anwar | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 20:44 | -24 | 23 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 32:57 | -25 | 17 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12:43 | -31 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 25:47 | -22 | 14 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
