Result
4:1
20/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East, SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | Channel 10 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | BandSports |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hong-kong | on.cc |
 Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 3 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 Turkey | Tabii, TRT Spor |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (227/286) | 81% (257/316) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.94 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (227/286) | 81% (257/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 37% (15/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (54/82) | 62% (48/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 100% (7/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 3.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Demiral M. ↓, Hamidou R. ↑,
- 19', 0 - 1, Masouras G. ⚽,
- 37', Schenkeveld B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Toney I. 🟨,
- 51', Al Hawsawi Z. 🟨,
- 56', Kourbelis D. ↓, Al Haydar A. ↑,
- 57', Demiral M. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Toney I. ⚽, Majrashi A. (A),
- 64', Fernandes P. ↓, Al Hafith A. ↑,
- 66', Moris A. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 1, Toney I. ⚽,
- 77', 3 - 1, Toney I. ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
- 80', Toney I. ↓, Millot E. ↑,
- 80', Atangana V. ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
- 81', Hamzi M. ↓, Nasser B. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 1, Hamidou R. ⚽,
- 88', Galeno ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
- 88', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 90+3', Al Haydar A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Jeddah
60.3% | Draw
22% | Al-Khaleej
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Al-Khaleej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Khaleej Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.63) |
4.19 ↑
(4.07) |
5.24 ↑
(4.29) |
9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Khaleej?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Ahli Jeddah will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 3.
- Al-Ahli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Khaleej is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Khaleej may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Al-Ahli will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Khaleej?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Khaleej won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Khaleej has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Khaleej were as follows:
07.03.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Khaleej
2:2
18.10.2024
Al-Khaleej
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0:3
29.12.2023
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Khaleej
1:0
17.08.2023
Al-Khaleej
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:3
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Latest results of Al-Khaleej
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 62:18 | 44 | 58 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 54:21 | 33 | 53 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 34:39 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 27 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Hazem | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:43 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 30:41 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 10 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21:51 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
