Result
2:4
01/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | GOBX Arabic |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (460/517) | 76% (223/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 4.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (460/517) | 76% (223/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (23/42) | 55% (26/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (106/141) | 61% (37/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 40% (8/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.29 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Al Somah O. ⚽, Abu Taha M. (A),
- 42', Al Qarni M. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Haji T. ⚽,
- 45+3', Abu Taha M. 🟨,
- 45+5', 2 - 1, Mensah B. ⚽, Al Shehri Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Al Maqati H. ↓, Al Khalaf O. ↑,
- 46', Al Qarni M. ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 2, Al Somah O. ⚽, Al Zubaidi I. (A),
- 59', Haji T. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
- 68', Al Shehri Y. ↓, Sali E. ↑,
- 69', Muhar K. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
- 69', Al Nuweqi H. ↓, Tambakti M. H. ↑,
- 70', Barbet Y. 🟨,
- 76', Abu Taha M. ↓, Al Shuwaish H. ↑,
- 81', Al Rashidi F. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 3, Gudmundsson J. ⚽, Al Shuwaish H. (A),
- 87', Gudmundsson J. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
- 88', Al Hawsawi N. ↓, Al Abed N. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 4, Al Somah O. ⚽, Al Zubaidi F. (A),
Chances of winning
Al-Riyadh
50.2% | Draw
25.8% | Al-Orobah
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Al-Orobah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Riyadh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(1.86) |
3.61 ↓
(3.72) |
3.88 ↑
(3.73) |
7.2%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah?
Users Predictions:
Al-Riyadh will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Riyadh will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Recent form of Al-Riyadh has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al-Orobah has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
- Al-Riyadh could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.
- In this match, Al-Riyadh is a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1 (average 0.8:0.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 1 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al-Orobah?
Al-Riyadh has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Orobah won against Al-Riyadh?
Al-Orobah has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah were as follows:
06.12.2024
Al-Orobah
-
Al-Riyadh
0:1
16.05.2023
Al-Riyadh
-
Al-Orobah
1:0
03.01.2023
Al-Orobah
-
Al-Riyadh
0:1
Latest results of Al-Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Orobah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Khaleej | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Al Qadisiya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Hilal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Fayha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Ahli SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Damac | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Kholood | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Neom SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Al Najma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Okhdood | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Shabab | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Taawon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
