Al-Riyadh vs Al-Orobah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh).

Saudi Professional League - Round 30
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	2.44
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
7	7
Big Chances
2	7
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
89% (460/517)	76% (223/293)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	2.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.92	4.29
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
7	7
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
9	11
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	7
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
27	23
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
11	7
Passes
89% (460/517)	76% (223/293)
Long passes
55% (23/42)	55% (26/47)
Passes in final third
75% (106/141)	61% (37/61)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	40% (8/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.22	1.95
Throw-ins
13	19
Fouls
7	11
Tackles
75% (9/12)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
41	41
Clearances
12	28
Interceptions
3	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
4.29	1.92
Goals prevented
0.05	-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Al Somah O. ⚽, Abu Taha M. (A),
42', Al Qarni M. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Haji T. ⚽,
45+3', Abu Taha M. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Mensah B. ⚽, Al Shehri Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Al Maqati H. ↓, Al Khalaf O. ↑,
46', Al Qarni M. ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Al Somah O. ⚽, Al Zubaidi I. (A),
59', Haji T. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
68', Al Shehri Y. ↓, Sali E. ↑,
69', Muhar K. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
69', Al Nuweqi H. ↓, Tambakti M. H. ↑,
70', Barbet Y. 🟨,
76', Abu Taha M. ↓, Al Shuwaish H. ↑,
81', Al Rashidi F. 🟨,
84', 2 - 3, Gudmundsson J. ⚽, Al Shuwaish H. (A),
87', Gudmundsson J. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
88', Al Hawsawi N. ↓, Al Abed N. ↑,
89', 2 - 4, Al Somah O. ⚽, Al Zubaidi F. (A),

Chances of winning

Al-Riyadh
50.2%

Draw
25.8%

Al-Orobah
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

21.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Al-Orobah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Riyadh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.86)	3.61 ↓ (3.72)	3.88 ↑ (3.73)	7.2% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Al-Riyadh (1.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Al-Riyadh will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Riyadh will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Riyadh (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
Recent form of Al-Riyadh has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Al-Orobah has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
Al-Riyadh could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.
In this match, Al-Riyadh is a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1 (average 0.8:0.2).
Including matches at home between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 1 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al-Orobah?

Al-Riyadh has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Orobah won against Al-Riyadh?

Al-Orobah has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah were as follows:

06.12.2024 Al-Orobah - Al-Riyadh 0:1

16.05.2023 Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah 1:0

03.01.2023 Al-Orobah - Al-Riyadh 0:1

Latest results of Al-Riyadh

23.04.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al Fateh 2:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Al-Riyadh - Damac 0:0 ✺

13.03.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Riyadh 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Al-Orobah

24.04.2025 Al-Orobah - Al-Feiha 2:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Al-Orobah - Al Raed 0:4 ✺

10.04.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Orobah 2:0 ✺

04.04.2025 Al-Orobah - Al Akhdoud 0:1 ✺

13.03.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Orobah 6:0 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Nassr	27	23	1	3	76:21	55	70
2	Al Hilal	28	20	8	0	75:25	50	68
3	Al Ahli SC	28	20	6	2	55:20	35	66
4	Al Qadsiah	28	18	7	3	65:29	36	61
5	Al Taawon	27	13	7	7	49:35	14	46
6	Al Ittihad	28	13	6	9	45:38	7	45
7	Al Ettifaq	28	12	6	10	41:49	-8	42
8	Neom SC	28	11	6	11	36:39	-3	39
9	Al Fayha	28	9	7	12	35:43	-8	34
10	Al Khaleej	27	8	7	12	46:46	0	31
11	Al Hazem	27	8	7	12	29:48	-19	31
12	Al Shabab	27	7	9	11	34:40	-6	30
13	Al Fateh	27	7	7	13	34:48	-14	28
14	Al Kholood	28	8	2	18	36:56	-20	26
15	Damac	28	4	11	13	25:46	-21	23
16	Al Riyadh	28	5	8	15	29:52	-23	23
17	Al Okhdood	27	4	4	19	23:57	-34	16
18	Al Najma	27	1	5	21	25:66	-41	8

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1