Al Akhdoud vs Al-Qadisiya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City (Najran).

Saudi Professional League - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	BandSports
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	on.cc
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.86	3.73
Ball possession
38%	62%
Total shots
8	22
Shots on target
4	8
Big chances
2	8
Corner kicks
1	7
Passes
80% (293/368)	88% (512/581)
Yellow cards
0	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.86	3.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.59	2.77
Total shots
8	22
Shots on target
4	8
Shots off target
3	9
Blocked shots
1	5
Shots inside the box
5	16
Shots outside the box
2	6
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
2	8
Corner kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
9	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
17	6
Passes
80% (293/368)	88% (512/581)
Long passes
52% (33/63)	46% (13/28)
Passes in final third
67% (46/69)	76% (137/181)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	43% (12/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	2.01
Throw ins
13	16
Fouls
6	17
Tackles
60% (6/10)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
47	41
Clearances
27	7
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
2.77	1.59
Goals prevented
-1.23	-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Al Ammar T. 🟨,
22', Alvarez G. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Quinones J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Bassogog C. ⚽, Fagihy M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 2, Al Ahmad W. ⚽,
64', Al Lazam K. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
67', Otavio ↓, Hazazi A. A. ↑,
67', Al Ammar T. ↓, Abu Al Shamat M. ↑,
71', Abu Abd M. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
71', Fagihy M. ↓, Nguen T. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Quinones J. ⚽, Abu Al Shamat M. (A),
80', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,
80', Retegui M. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
86', 2 - 3, Al Hatila A. ⚽,
87', 2 - 4, Quinones J. ⚽,
88', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Mahnashi I. ↑,
90+1', Al Ahmad W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Al Akhdoud
10.4%

Draw
17.2%

Al-Qadisiya
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

18.1%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

17.3%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.89 ↑ (7.71)	5.39 ↑ (5.15)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)	8.4% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Qadisiya: 64.6% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1.5 - Al-Qadisiya (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1.
Al Akhdoud is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Al-Qadisiya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Al Akhdoud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Qadisiya?

Al Akhdoud has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qadisiya won against Al Akhdoud?

Al-Qadisiya has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya were as follows:

25.10.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud 0:0

21.02.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud 2:0

19.09.2024 Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya 0:0

28.01.2023 Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya 0:0

23.08.2022 Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud 1:3

Latest results of Al Akhdoud

12.02.2026 Al Hazem - Al Akhdoud 2:1 ✺

05.02.2026 Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal 0:6 ✺

02.02.2026 Al Akhdoud - Neom 1:1 ✺

30.01.2026 Al-Taawoun - Al Akhdoud 1:0 ✺

26.01.2026 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al Akhdoud 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Al-Qadisiya

12.02.2026 Al-Qadisiya - Neom 1:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Al-Qadisiya - Al Fateh 1:1 ✺

03.02.2026 Al-Khaleej - Al-Qadisiya 0:1 ✺

29.01.2026 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal 2:2 ✺

25.01.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya 1:3 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Nassr	27	23	1	3	76:21	55	70
2	Al Hilal	28	20	8	0	75:25	50	68
3	Al Ahli SC	28	20	6	2	55:20	35	66
4	Al Qadsiah	28	18	7	3	65:29	36	61
5	Al Taawon	27	13	7	7	49:35	14	46
6	Al Ittihad	28	13	6	9	45:38	7	45
7	Al Ettifaq	28	12	6	10	41:49	-8	42
8	Neom SC	28	11	6	11	36:39	-3	39
9	Al Fayha	28	9	7	12	35:43	-8	34
10	Al Khaleej	27	8	7	12	46:46	0	31
11	Al Hazem	27	8	7	12	29:48	-19	31
12	Al Shabab	27	7	9	11	34:40	-6	30
13	Al Fateh	27	7	7	13	34:48	-14	28
14	Al Kholood	28	8	2	18	36:56	-20	26
15	Damac	28	4	11	13	25:46	-21	23
16	Al Riyadh	28	5	8	15	29:52	-23	23
17	Al Okhdood	27	4	4	19	23:57	-34	16
18	Al Najma	27	1	5	21	25:66	-41	8

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1