Result
2:4
20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | JACO Middle East |
Brazil | BandSports |
China | QQ Sports |
Hong-kong | on.cc |
Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 3.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (293/368) | 88% (512/581) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 3.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (293/368) | 88% (512/581) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 46% (13/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (46/69) | 76% (137/181) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 43% (12/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.77 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.23 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Al Ammar T. 🟨,
- 22', Alvarez G. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Quinones J. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, Bassogog C. ⚽, Fagihy M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', 1 - 2, Al Ahmad W. ⚽,
- 64', Al Lazam K. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
- 67', Otavio ↓, Hazazi A. A. ↑,
- 67', Al Ammar T. ↓, Abu Al Shamat M. ↑,
- 71', Abu Abd M. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
- 71', Fagihy M. ↓, Nguen T. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 3, Quinones J. ⚽, Abu Al Shamat M. (A),
- 80', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,
- 80', Retegui M. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 3, Al Hatila A. ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 4, Quinones J. ⚽,
- 88', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Mahnashi I. ↑,
- 90+1', Al Ahmad W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Akhdoud 10.4% | Draw 17.2% | Al-Qadisiya 72.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.89 ↑ (7.71) |
5.39 ↑ (5.15) |
1.27 ↓ (1.34) |
8.4% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Qadisiya: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Al-Qadisiya (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1.
- Al Akhdoud is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al-Qadisiya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al Akhdoud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Qadisiya?
Al Akhdoud has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qadisiya won against Al Akhdoud?
Al-Qadisiya has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya were as follows:
25.10.2025
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al Akhdoud
0:0
21.02.2025
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al Akhdoud
2:0
19.09.2024
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Qadisiya
0:0
28.01.2023
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Qadisiya
0:0
23.08.2022
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al Akhdoud
1:3
Latest results of Al Akhdoud
Latest results of Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 62:18 | 44 | 58 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 54:21 | 33 | 53 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 34:39 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 27 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Hazem | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:43 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 30:41 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 10 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21:51 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1