Al Akhdoud vs Al-Qadisiya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
brazilBrazilBandSports
chinaChinaQQ Sports
hong-kongHong-kongon.cc
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.863.73
Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
822
Shots on target
48
Big chances
28
Corner kicks
17
Passes
80% (293/368)88% (512/581)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
0.863.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.592.77
Total shots
822
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
39
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
516
Shots outside the box
26
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
28
Corner kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
933
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
176
Passes
80% (293/368)88% (512/581)
Long passes
52% (33/63)46% (13/28)
Passes in final third
67% (46/69)76% (137/181)
Crosses
25% (2/8)43% (12/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.752.01
Throw ins
1316
Fouls
617
Tackles
60% (6/10)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4741
Clearances
277
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
2.771.59
Goals prevented
-1.23-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', Al Ammar T. 🟨,
  • 22', Alvarez G. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Quinones J. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Bassogog C. , Fagihy M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Al Ahmad W. ,
  • 64', Al Lazam K. , Al Abbas S. ,
  • 67', Otavio , Hazazi A. A. ,
  • 67', Al Ammar T. , Abu Al Shamat M. ,
  • 71', Abu Abd M. , Al Hatila A. ,
  • 71', Fagihy M. , Nguen T. ,
  • 74', 1 - 3, Quinones J. , Abu Al Shamat M. (A),
  • 80', Bonsu Baah C. , Al Shahrani Y. ,
  • 80', Retegui M. , Al Salem A. ,
  • 86', 2 - 3, Al Hatila A. ,
  • 87', 2 - 4, Quinones J. ,
  • 88', Al Juwayr M. , Mahnashi I. ,
  • 90+1', Al Ahmad W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al Akhdoud
10.4%
Draw
17.2%
Al-Qadisiya
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.1% 18.1% 69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6% 17.3% 72.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.89
    (7.71)
    5.39
    (5.15)
    1.27
    (1.34)
    8.4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Qadisiya: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Al-Qadisiya (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1.
    • Al Akhdoud is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Al-Qadisiya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Al Akhdoud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud 0:0
    21.02.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud 2:0
    19.09.2024 Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya 0:0
    28.01.2023 Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya 0:0
    23.08.2022 Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud 1:3
    Latest results of Al Akhdoud
    12.02.2026 Al Hazem - Al Akhdoud 2:1
    05.02.2026 Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal 0:6
    02.02.2026 Al Akhdoud - Neom 1:1
    30.01.2026 Al-Taawoun - Al Akhdoud 1:0
    Latest results of Al-Qadisiya
    12.02.2026 Al-Qadisiya - Neom 1:0
    07.02.2026 Al-Qadisiya - Al Fateh 1:1
    03.02.2026 Al-Khaleej - Al-Qadisiya 0:1
    29.01.2026 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal 2:2
    25.01.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya 1:3
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ahli SC24185146:153159
    2Al Nassr23191362:184458
    3Al Hilal23167057:203755
    4Al Qadsiah23165254:213353
    5Al Taawon23124741:281340
    6Al Ittihad23116638:281039
    7Al Ettifaq23115734:39-538
    8Neom SC2395928:31-332
    9Al Fateh24771032:43-1128
    10Al Khaleej23761042:37527
    11Al Fayha23761027:38-1127
    12Al Shabab23671027:33-625
    13Al Hazem23671023:43-2025
    14Al Kholood23711530:41-1122
    15Al Riyadh24371422:45-2316
    16Damac242101218:41-2316
    17Al Okhdood23241719:49-3010
    18Al Najma23151721:51-308

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1