Result
1:1
07/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Asia | JACO Middle East, SPOTV Asia |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tanzania | ZBC 2 Tanzania |
 Thailand | SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (476/543) | 73% (179/245) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (476/543) | 73% (179/245) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (35/48) | 47% (28/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (158/199) | 58% (43/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 54% (14/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Vargas M. ⚽, Wesley Delgado (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Quinones J. ⚽, Abu Al Shamat M. (A),
- 39', Wesley Delgado 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Gabriel Carvalho ↓, Asiri H. ↑,
- 69', Wesley Delgado ↓, Al Jari Z. ↑,
- 77', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Houssa E. ↑,
- 77', Thakri J. ↓, Al Ahmad W. ↑,
- 84', Masoud N. ↓, Al Fawaz A. ↑,
- 84', Bendebka S. ↓, Al Sahafi M. ↑,
- 86', Al Sahafi M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Vargas M. ↓, Al Sarnoukh M. ↑,
- 90+3', Baattia S. ↓, Refaat A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Qadisiya
66.3% | Draw
19.4% | Al Fateh
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qadisiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Al-Qadisiya - Al Fateh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.4) |
4.85 ↓
(4.88) |
6.4 ↓
(6.69) |
8.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Qadisiya - Al Fateh?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Al Fateh will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Al-Qadisiya (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Al-Qadisiya (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Al-Qadisiya (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - Al-Qadisiya (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Al-Qadisiya (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Al-Qadisiya (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Al-Qadisiya (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Al-Qadisiya (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Al-Qadisiya (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Qadisiya will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 11 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).
- Al-Qadisiya is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al Fateh has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Al-Qadisiya will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiya won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Qadisiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qadisiya won against Al Fateh?
Al-Qadisiya has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al-Qadisiya?
Al Fateh has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Qadisiya - Al Fateh were as follows:
27.09.2025
Al Fateh
-
Al-Qadisiya
0:1
01.02.2025
Al Fateh
-
Al-Qadisiya
1:1
23.08.2024
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al Fateh
3:0
Latest results of Al-Qadisiya
Latest results of Al Fateh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 27 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 76:21 | 55 | 70 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 75:25 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41:49 | -8 | 42 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 34 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Hazem | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 31 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 36:56 | -20 | 26 |
| 15 | Damac | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 23:57 | -34 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 27 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 25:66 | -41 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
