Result
2:0
27/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP |
Angola | Z Sports 1 |
Asia | JACO Middle East, SPOTV 2 Asia |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Brazil | Canal GOAT, SporTV 2 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
China | QQ Sports |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Indonesia | SPOTV 2, Vidio |
Italy | Sportitalia Solo Calcio |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kenya | Gotv |
Malaysia | Astro Go, SPOTV 2 |
Mexico | FOX One |
Mongolia | SPOTV 2 |
Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Philippines | SPOTV 2 |
Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Singapore | SPOTV 2 |
South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Tanzania | ZBC 2 Tanzania |
Thailand | SPOTV 2, True Ball Thai 1, True ID |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
Vietnam | SPOTV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (556/614) | 78% (228/294) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.37 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (556/614) | 78% (228/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (29/42) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (168/209) | 60% (36/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 60% (3/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 3.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Al Ghamdi A. ⚽, Roger (A),
- 39', Al Gulaymish N. ↓, Al Saadi N. ↑,
- 43', Mitaj M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Matuq A. ↓, Abdullah M. ↑,
- 70', Abdullah M. 🟨,
- 76', Al Subiani F. ↓, Sierro V. ↑,
- 82', Al Ghamdi A. ↓, Al Bishi A. ↑,
- 85', Makki A. ↓, Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 0, Bergwijn S. ⚽, Al Shanqiti M. (A),
- 88', Bergwijn S. ↓, Al Ghamdi H. ↑,
- 88', Benzema K. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
- 90+2', Al Shanqiti M. ↓, Al Julaydan A. ↑,
- 90+2', Kadesh H. ↓, Sharahili A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Ittihad Jeddah 67.1% | Draw 19.6% | Al-Shabab Riyadh 13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ittihad Jeddah's performance.Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ittihad Jeddah that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↓ (1.55) |
4.82 ↑ (4.18) |
7.09 ↑ (5.32) |
7.1% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ittihad: 69.5% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Al-Ittihad (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Al-Ittihad has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al-Ittihad is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Jeddah won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:
29.11.2025
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
4:1
20.05.2025
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
2:3
01.04.2025
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
3:2
22.01.2025
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
2:1
26.04.2024
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
1:3
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 62:18 | 44 | 58 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 54:21 | 33 | 53 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 34:39 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 27 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Hazem | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:43 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 30:41 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 10 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21:51 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1