Result
2:3
20/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Afghanistan | Solh Sports 1 |
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Asia | GOBX Arabic |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | New World TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, NOW Sports 3 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+ |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | DAZN 1 UK |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (396/452) | 86% (403/466) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (396/452) | 86% (403/466) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (24/35) | 55% (23/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (101/140) | 76% (67/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Diaby M. ⚽, Al Saqour F. (A),
- 34', 0 - 2, Diaby M. ⚽, Bergwijn S. (A),
- 43', Hamdallah A. ↓, Camara H. ↑,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Carrasco Y. ⚽, Al Juwayr M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Al Oboud A. ↓, Hernandez U. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 3, Bergwijn S. ⚽, Kante N. (A),
- 67', 2 - 3, Guanca C. ⚽, Podence D. (A),
- 71', Al Ghamdi H. ↓, Kadesh H. ↑,
- 71', Mitaj M. ↓, Hawsawi A. ↑,
- 71', Bergwijn S. ↓, Al Bishi A. ↑,
- 85', Al Nashri A. ↓, Fallatah M. ↑,
- 86', Fallatah M. 🟨,
- 87', Kamara G. ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
- 90', Diaby M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Al Shwirekh M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Podence D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Shabab Riyadh
46.8% | Draw
22.9% | Al-Ittihad Jeddah
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shabab Riyadh's performance.Al-Ittihad Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ittihad Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Shabab Riyadh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ittihad Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.45) |
4.06 ↑
(3.9) |
3.07 ↑
(2.46) |
7.4%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Shabab Riyadh will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Al-Ittihad is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 2.
- In recent matches, Al-Shabab has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Ittihad is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Al-Shabab is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Jeddah won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah were as follows:
01.04.2025
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
3:2
22.01.2025
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
2:1
26.04.2024
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
1:3
03.11.2023
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
1:0
09.01.2023
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
1:1
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Al Taawon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Al Ahli SC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Al Qadisiya | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Al Khaleej | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Neom SC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Al Kholood | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Al Riyadh | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Al Hazem | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Al Fateh | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Damac | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Al Najma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Okhdood | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
