Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Ittihad Jeddah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Saudi Professional League Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Result
2:3
20/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanSolh Sports 1
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, New World Sport 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
asiaAsiaGOBX Arabic
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilBandSports, Canal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceNew World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, NOW Sports 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN 1 UK
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.151.67
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
88% (396/452)86% (403/466)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.151.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.281.81
Total shots
216
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
175
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3720
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
159
Passes
88% (396/452)86% (403/466)
Long passes
69% (24/35)55% (23/42)
Passes in final third
72% (101/140)76% (67/88)
Crosses
24% (5/21)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.921.13
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
915
Tackles
77% (10/13)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4740
Clearances
723
Interceptions
156
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
1.811.28
Goals prevented
-1.19-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Diaby M. , Al Saqour F. (A),
  • 34', 0 - 2, Diaby M. , Bergwijn S. (A),
  • 43', Hamdallah A. , Camara H. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Carrasco Y. , Al Juwayr M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Al Oboud A. , Hernandez U. ,
  • 58', 1 - 3, Bergwijn S. , Kante N. (A),
  • 67', 2 - 3, Guanca C. , Podence D. (A),
  • 71', Al Ghamdi H. , Kadesh H. ,
  • 71', Mitaj M. , Hawsawi A. ,
  • 71', Bergwijn S. , Al Bishi A. ,
  • 85', Al Nashri A. , Fallatah M. ,
  • 86', Fallatah M. 🟨,
  • 87', Kamara G. , Al Dubais H. ,
  • 90', Diaby M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Al Shwirekh M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Podence D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Shabab Riyadh
46.8%
Draw
22.9%
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 23.9% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 23.9% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shabab Riyadh's performance.
  • Al-Ittihad Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ittihad Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Shabab Riyadh that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ittihad Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.45)
    4.06
    (3.9)
    3.07
    (2.46)
    7.4%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Al-Shabab Riyadh will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Al-Ittihad is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 2.
    • In recent matches, Al-Shabab has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al-Ittihad is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Al-Shabab is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 3:2
    22.01.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:1
    26.04.2024 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:3
    03.11.2023 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah 1:0
    09.01.2023 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
    Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr11005:053
    2Al Ittihad11005:233
    3Al Khaleej11004:133
    4Al Qadisiya11003:123
    5Al Hilal11002:023
    6Al Ettifaq11002:113
    7Al Fayha11002:113
    8Al Ahli SC11001:013
    9Al Hazem10101:101
    10Damac10101:101
    11Al Fateh10011:2-10
    12Al Kholood10011:2-10
    13Neom SC10010:1-10
    14Al Najma10011:3-20
    15Al Riyadh10010:2-20
    16Al Okhdood10012:5-30
    17Al Shabab10011:4-30
    18Al Taawon10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1