Result
2:3
20/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Afghanistan | Solh Sports 1 |
Africa | Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Albania | SuperSport 4 |
Asia | GOBX Arabic |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | New World TV |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, NOW Sports 3 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+ |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
United-kingdom | DAZN 1 UK |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.15 | 1.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
88% (396/452) | 86% (403/466) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.15 | 1.67 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.28 | 1.81 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
17 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
37 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
88% (396/452) | 86% (403/466) |
Long passes |
---|
69% (24/35) | 55% (23/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (101/140) | 76% (67/88) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (5/21) | 25% (1/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.92 | 1.13 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
77% (10/13) | 76% (13/17) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
7 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
15 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.81 | 1.28 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.19 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Diaby M. ⚽, Al Saqour F. (A),
- 34', 0 - 2, Diaby M. ⚽, Bergwijn S. (A),
- 43', Hamdallah A. ↓, Camara H. ↑,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Carrasco Y. ⚽, Al Juwayr M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Al Oboud A. ↓, Hernandez U. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 3, Bergwijn S. ⚽, Kante N. (A),
- 67', 2 - 3, Guanca C. ⚽, Podence D. (A),
- 71', Al Ghamdi H. ↓, Kadesh H. ↑,
- 71', Mitaj M. ↓, Hawsawi A. ↑,
- 71', Bergwijn S. ↓, Al Bishi A. ↑,
- 85', Al Nashri A. ↓, Fallatah M. ↑,
- 86', Fallatah M. 🟨,
- 87', Kamara G. ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
- 90', Diaby M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Al Shwirekh M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Podence D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Shabab Riyadh 46.8% | Draw 22.9% | Al-Ittihad Jeddah 30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shabab Riyadh's performance.Al-Ittihad Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ittihad Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Shabab Riyadh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ittihad Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.45) |
4.06 ↑ (3.9) |
3.07 ↑ (2.46) |
7.4% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Shabab Riyadh will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Al-Ittihad is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 2.
- In recent matches, Al-Shabab has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Ittihad is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Al-Shabab is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Jeddah won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah were as follows:
01.04.2025
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
3:2
22.01.2025
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
2:1
26.04.2024
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
1:3
03.11.2023
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
1:0
09.01.2023
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
1:1
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 79:35 | 44 | 83 |
2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 95:41 | 54 | 75 |
3 | Al Nassr | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 80:38 | 42 | 70 |
4 | Al Qadisiya | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 53:31 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 67 |
6 | Al Shabab | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 65:41 | 24 | 60 |
7 | Al Ettifaq | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 50 |
8 | Al Taawon | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
9 | Al Kholood | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 42:64 | -22 | 40 |
10 | Al Fateh | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 47:61 | -14 | 39 |
11 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:57 | -17 | 37 |
13 | Al Fayha | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 27:49 | -22 | 36 |
14 | Damac | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:50 | -13 | 35 |
15 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33:56 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Al Wehda | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:67 | -25 | 33 |
17 | Al Orubah | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 31:74 | -43 | 30 |
18 | Al Raed | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41:66 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1