Aldosivi vs San Martín de San Juan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
15/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.60
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
54% (129/239)60% (170/283)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.60
xG on target (xGOT)
2.832.50
Total shots
149
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
2012
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
54% (129/239)60% (170/283)
Long passes
45% (36/80)25% (18/72)
Passes in final third
48% (47/98)42% (40/95)
Crosses
29% (4/14)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.51
Throw-ins
1827
Fouls
1710
Tackles
87% (13/15)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5145
Clearances
1718
Interceptions
32
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.502.83
Goals prevented
0.50-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Lecanda T. 🟨,
  • 21', De La Vega F. 🟨,
  • 45', Tijanovich H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 2)
  • 46', De La Vega F. , Rami F. ,
  • 60', Maestro I. , Barrera S. ,
  • 61', Watson N. , Jaurena S. ,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Barrera S. , Fernandez T. (A),
  • 65', Cerato G. 🟨,
  • 69', Serrago T. , Palavecino A. ,
  • 69', Guzman N. , Preciado E. ,
  • 74', Gonzalez S. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 74', Alvarez L. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Moya S. , Cabral Y. (A),
  • 77', 2 - 1, Rami F. , Palavecino A. (A),
  • 80', Recalde L. , Anselmo F. ,
  • 80', Tijanovich H. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 88', Moya S. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Fernandez T. (Pen),
  • 89', 3 - 2, Giani J. ,
  • 90+1', Giani J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Moya S. , Kummer T. ,
  • 90+3', Giani J. , Mottes G. ,
  • 90+9', 4 - 2, Preciado E. (Pen),
  • 90+10', Preciado E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Aldosivi
38.4%
Draw
32.8%
San Martín de San Juan
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 33.3% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 34.7% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aldosivi's performance.
  • San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de San Juan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aldosivi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de San Juan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (3.1)
    2.97
    (2.8)
    3.26
    (2.55)
    2.4%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 1 - 10%). San Martín will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Martín (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Aldosivi (1.67) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Aldosivi (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Aldosivi (votes: 2 - 40%). San Martín (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 2.
    • Aldosivi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, San Martín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aldosivi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N. (Knee Injury) Garcia M. (Inactive) Godoy F. (Foot Injury) Rodriguez E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in San Martín: Diarte L. (Injury) Pelaitay N. (Injury) Toloza F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aldosivi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan were as follows:
    04.05.2025 San Martín de San Juan - Aldosivi 0:3
    14.06.2023 Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan 0:1
    Latest results of Aldosivi
    Latest results of San Martín de San Juan
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1053216:12418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1144310:9116
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Huracan113539:9014
    10Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)