Result
2:0
30/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Palencia M. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.88 | 0.10 |
Ball Possession |
---|
71% | 29% |
Total shots |
---|
24 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
88% (440/498) | 62% (124/201) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.88 | 0.10 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.08 | 0.44 |
Total shots |
---|
24 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 0 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 5 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
4 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
88% (440/498) | 62% (124/201) |
Long passes |
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63% (24/38) | 23% (11/47) |
Passes in final third |
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81% (167/207) | 29% (10/34) |
Crosses |
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23% (3/13) | 0% (0/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.91 | 0.14 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 4 |
Tackles |
---|
76% (13/17) | 50% (7/14) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 31 |
Clearances Total |
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11 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.44 | 3.08 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.44 | 1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Castillo J. 🟥,
- 20', 1 - 0, Castro L. (Pen),
- 29', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 30', Torres E. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 30', Pardo F. ↓, Manjarres R. ↑,
- 31', Castro L. (Pen),
- 34', Palacios K. 🟨,
- 44', Castro L. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Chaverra J. ↓, Wallens J. ↑,
- 60', Mendoza Benitez D. A. ↓, Colpa Bolano R. R. ↑,
- 60', Navarro S. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
- 71', Fernandez W. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 0, Marimon L. ⚽, Villarreal N. (A),
- 81', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Charrupi F. ↑,
- 81', Palacios K. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/8sxew3hd
Chances of winning
Millonarios 60.5% | Draw 25.2% | Alianza Valledupar 14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Millonarios - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↑ (1.52) |
3.71 ↓ (3.95) |
6.45 ↑ (5.8) |
7% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Colombian Primera A with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Nuestra Tele
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Millonarios could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Millonarios is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 36:19 (average 1.8:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Millonarios won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20:6 (average 2.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Alianza Valledupar?
Millonarios has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Millonarios?
Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
28.07.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Millonarios
2:1
31.01.2024
Millonarios
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:1
05.10.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Millonarios
1:2
28.09.2023
Millonarios
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
29.07.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Millonarios
1:0
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
2 | Fortaleza | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Llaneros | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
6 | Chico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Envigado | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
10 | La Equidad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
12 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
13 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Dep. Cali | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
15 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
16 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
17 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
18 | U. Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
19 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )