Result
2:0
30/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Palencia M. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 0.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (440/498) | 62% (124/201) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 0.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.08 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (440/498) | 62% (124/201) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (24/38) | 23% (11/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (167/207) | 29% (10/34) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 31 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 3.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Castillo J. 🟥,
- 20', 1 - 0, Castro L. (Pen),
- 29', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 30', Torres E. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 30', Pardo F. ↓, Manjarres R. ↑,
- 31', Castro L. (Pen),
- 34', Palacios K. 🟨,
- 44', Castro L. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Chaverra J. ↓, Wallens J. ↑,
- 60', Mendoza Benitez D. A. ↓, Colpa Bolano R. R. ↑,
- 60', Navarro S. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
- 71', Fernandez W. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 0, Marimon L. ⚽, Villarreal N. (A),
- 81', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Charrupi F. ↑,
- 81', Palacios K. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/8sxew3hd
Chances of winning
Millonarios
60.5% | Draw
25.2% | Alianza Valledupar
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Millonarios - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.52) |
3.71 ↓
(3.95) |
6.45 ↑
(5.8) |
7%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Colombian Primera A with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Nuestra Tele
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Millonarios could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Millonarios is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 36:19 (average 1.8:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Millonarios won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20:6 (average 2.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Alianza Valledupar?
Millonarios has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Millonarios?
Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
28.07.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Millonarios
2:1
31.01.2024
Millonarios
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:1
05.10.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Millonarios
1:2
28.09.2023
Millonarios
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
29.07.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Millonarios
1:0
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Llaneros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Pereira | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Ind. Medellin | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Envigado | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 | Chico | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Alianza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Dep. Pasto | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 3 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
