Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios
Result
3:0
13/09/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.540.63
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
85% (330/388)83% (295/356)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.540.63
xG on target (xGOT)
2.000.46
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
257
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
817
Passes
85% (330/388)83% (295/356)
Long passes
55% (28/51)48% (19/40)
Passes in final third
67% (58/86)64% (59/92)
Crosses
17% (4/23)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.47
Throw-ins
922
Fouls
198
Tackles
87% (13/15)83% (5/6)
Duels won
3339
Clearances
1723
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.462.00
Goals prevented
0.46-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', Rosales Y. 🟨,
  • 33', Moreno K. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Munoz J. , Torres E. (A),
  • 45+1', Mosquera S. 🟥,
  • 45+3', 2 - 0, Torres E. , Munoz J. (A),
  • 45+7', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Giordana S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. , Victoria Palacios D. S. ,
  • 46', Castro Espinosa B. D. , Arias J. ,
  • 54', Vargas J. 🟨,
  • 56', 3 - 0, Lucumi C. (Pen),
  • 60', Hurtado J. , Cuero B. ,
  • 60', Giordana S. , Castro L. ,
  • 61', Rosales Y. , Perez L. ,
  • 61', Munoz J. , Perez Balcazar J. E. ,
  • 68', Mosquera E. , Canozales C. ,
  • 70', Torres E. , Aponza Cantonil S. A. ,
  • 70', Munoz J. , Valencia L. ,
  • 74', Perez L. 🟨,
  • 86', Manjarres R. , Mosquera F. ,
  • 88', Perez Balcazar J. E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdkmf73n

Chances of winning


Alianza Valledupar
34.9%
Draw
30.8%
Millonarios
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 29.5% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 28.4% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.66)
    3.03
    (3.1)
    2.71
    (2.54)
    6.9%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Millonarios will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:36. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Millonarios - Alianza Valledupar 2:0
    28.07.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios 2:1
    31.01.2024 Millonarios - Alianza Valledupar 1:1
    05.10.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios 1:2
    28.09.2023 Millonarios - Alianza Valledupar 2:0
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1373323:111224
    2Fortaleza1366119:13624
    3Junior1264224:16822
    4Ind. Medellin1163221:15621
    5Atl. Nacional1255220:15520
    6Deportes Tolima1262414:9520
    7Llaneros1253410:10018
    8Dep. Cali1245317:16117
    9Santa Fe1245312:11117
    10Once Caldas1344516:16016
    11Alianza1244413:15-216
    12Pereira1235410:11-114
    13Millonarios1242614:17-314
    14America De Cali123459:10-113
    15Envigado122649:11-212
    16Aguilas1125411:15-411
    17U. Magdalena1232712:20-811
    18La Equidad122557:15-811
    19Chico1325610:21-1111
    20Dep. Pasto1224612:16-410

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