Result
3:0
13/09/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.54 | 0.63 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
85% (330/388) | 83% (295/356) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.54 | 0.63 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.00 | 0.46 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 7 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
85% (330/388) | 83% (295/356) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (28/51) | 48% (19/40) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (58/86) | 64% (59/92) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (4/23) | 15% (3/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.19 | 0.47 |
Throw-ins |
---|
9 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
87% (13/15) | 83% (5/6) |
Duels won |
---|
33 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.46 | 2.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.46 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', Rosales Y. 🟨,
- 33', Moreno K. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Munoz J. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
- 45+1', Mosquera S. 🟥,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Torres E. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
- 45+7', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
- 45+7', Giordana S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Victoria Palacios D. S. ↑,
- 46', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 54', Vargas J. 🟨,
- 56', 3 - 0, Lucumi C. (Pen),
- 60', Hurtado J. ↓, Cuero B. ↑,
- 60', Giordana S. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
- 61', Rosales Y. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 61', Munoz J. ↓, Perez Balcazar J. E. ↑,
- 68', Mosquera E. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
- 70', Torres E. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 70', Munoz J. ↓, Valencia L. ↑,
- 74', Perez L. 🟨,
- 86', Manjarres R. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 88', Perez Balcazar J. E. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdkmf73n
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar 34.9% | Draw 30.8% | Millonarios 34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.7 ↑ (2.66) |
3.03 ↓ (3.1) |
2.71 ↑ (2.54) |
6.9% (9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Millonarios will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:36. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Millonarios?
Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Alianza Valledupar?
Millonarios has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios were as follows:
30.03.2025
Millonarios
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
28.07.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Millonarios
2:1
31.01.2024
Millonarios
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:1
05.10.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Millonarios
1:2
28.09.2023
Millonarios
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | Fortaleza | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
3 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:15 | 6 | 21 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Llaneros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
11 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Pereira | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
13 | Millonarios | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
14 | America De Cali | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
15 | Envigado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
16 | Aguilas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
18 | La Equidad | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
19 | Chico | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 11 |
20 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )