Result
3:0
13/09/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (330/388) | 83% (295/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (330/388) | 83% (295/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (28/51) | 48% (19/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (58/86) | 64% (59/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', Rosales Y. 🟨,
- 33', Moreno K. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Munoz J. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
- 45+1', Mosquera S. 🟥,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Torres E. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
- 45+7', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
- 45+7', Giordana S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Victoria Palacios D. S. ↑,
- 46', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 54', Vargas J. 🟨,
- 56', 3 - 0, Lucumi C. (Pen),
- 60', Hurtado J. ↓, Cuero B. ↑,
- 60', Giordana S. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
- 61', Rosales Y. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 61', Munoz J. ↓, Perez Balcazar J. E. ↑,
- 68', Mosquera E. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
- 70', Torres E. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 70', Munoz J. ↓, Valencia L. ↑,
- 74', Perez L. 🟨,
- 86', Manjarres R. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 88', Perez Balcazar J. E. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdkmf73n
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
34.9% | Draw
30.8% | Millonarios
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.66) |
3.03 ↓
(3.1) |
2.71 ↑
(2.54) |
6.9%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Millonarios will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 50.5% – 99.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Alianza (1.72) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Millonarios (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millonarios will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Millonarios (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:36. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Millonarios?
Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Alianza Valledupar?
Millonarios has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios were as follows:
30.03.2025
Millonarios
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
28.07.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Millonarios
2:1
31.01.2024
Millonarios
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:1
05.10.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Millonarios
1:2
28.09.2023
Millonarios
-
Alianza Valledupar
2:0
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
