Result
2:1
14/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (491/551) | 85% (394/466) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (491/551) | 85% (394/466) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (19/37) | 39% (23/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (103/135) | 59% (33/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Vidales J. ⚽, Quagliata N. (A),
- 38', 2 - 0, Ramos E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', 2 - 1, Ascues C. ⚽,
- 61', Ascues C. ↓, Aubert E. ↑,
- 66', Vidales J. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 72', Quagliata N. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 72', Llontop M. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 78', Iraola G. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
- 78', Escobar J. ↓, Canela Torres J. J. ↑,
- 80', Bordacahar C. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
- 80', D'Arrigo J. ↓, Barrios P. ↑,
- 81', Mendieta J. ↓, Perleche A. ↑,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
73.5% | Draw
17.2% | Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
9.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBC Melgar's performance.Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
FBC Melgar - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.4) |
5.68 ↑
(4.5) |
10.59 ↑
(7) |
4.8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 14).
- Melgar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alianza Universidad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Melgar is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
FBC Melgar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against FBC Melgar?
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco were as follows:
23.05.2025
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
