Result
1:1
23/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (184/259) | 81% (335/416) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (184/259) | 81% (335/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (29/72) | 46% (39/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (64/110) | 74% (89/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Escobar J. ⚽,
- 14', Ramos E. 🟨,
- 20', Mena Y. 🟨,
- 28', Ribonetto W. 🟨,
- 45+7', Ramos C. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Arias A. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 46', Ramos E. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
- 46', Sernaque J. ↓, Aoki A. ↑,
- 47', Ampuero A. 🟨,
- 49', Liza P. 🟨,
- 58', Martinez T. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
- 62', Escobar J. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
- 64', Lliuya M. ↓, Oliva E. ↑,
- 72', Tandazo W. ↓, Vivanco P. ↑,
- 77', Llontop M. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 79', Ynamine P. 🟨,
- 83', Guzman L. 🟨,
- 84', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Aoki A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Aoki A. ↓, Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↑,
- 90+11', Lazo M. 🟨,
- 90+12', 1 - 1, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
25.7% | Draw
27.8% | FBC Melgar
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↑
(3.6) |
3.38 ↓
(3.7) |
2.01 ↑
(1.92) |
6.8%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Melgar will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Universidad (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 2).
- Alianza Universidad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Melgar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alianza Universidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melgar is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C.
(Knee Injury)
Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against FBC Melgar?
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
FBC Melgar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar were as follows:
Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Cusco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Alianza Huanuco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Grau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
