Result
1:1
23/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | K-Ball |
Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 2.64 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
71% (184/259) | 81% (335/416) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 2.64 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.90 | 1.20 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 2 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 34 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 7 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
71% (184/259) | 81% (335/416) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (29/72) | 46% (39/84) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (64/110) | 74% (89/121) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (4/14) | 29% (8/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.92 | 1.09 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (7/9) | 65% (15/23) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
36 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.20 | 0.90 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.58 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Escobar J. ⚽,
- 14', Ramos E. 🟨,
- 20', Mena Y. 🟨,
- 28', Ribonetto W. 🟨,
- 45+7', Ramos C. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Arias A. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 46', Ramos E. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
- 46', Sernaque J. ↓, Aoki A. ↑,
- 47', Ampuero A. 🟨,
- 49', Liza P. 🟨,
- 58', Martinez T. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
- 62', Escobar J. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
- 64', Lliuya M. ↓, Oliva E. ↑,
- 72', Tandazo W. ↓, Vivanco P. ↑,
- 77', Llontop M. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 79', Ynamine P. 🟨,
- 83', Guzman L. 🟨,
- 84', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Aoki A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Aoki A. ↓, Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↑,
- 90+11', Lazo M. 🟨,
- 90+12', 1 - 1, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 25.7% | Draw 27.8% | FBC Melgar 46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.63 ↑ (3.6) |
3.38 ↓ (3.7) |
2.01 ↑ (1.92) |
6.8% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Melgar will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Universidad (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 2).
- Alianza Universidad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Melgar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alianza Universidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melgar is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C.
(Knee Injury)
Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Universidad de Huánuco won against FBC Melgar?
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Alianza Universidad de Huánuco?
FBC Melgar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar were as follows:
Latest results of Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )