Alianza Universidad de Huánuco vs FBC Melgar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar
Result
1:1
23/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
peruPeruL1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.64
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
71% (184/259)81% (335/416)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.901.20
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
513
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
22
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
1734
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
17
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
71% (184/259)81% (335/416)
Long passes
40% (29/72)46% (39/84)
Passes in final third
58% (64/110)74% (89/121)
Crosses
29% (4/14)29% (8/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.09
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
1311
Tackles
78% (7/9)65% (15/23)
Duels won
5152
Clearances
3617
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.200.90
Goals prevented
-0.58-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Escobar J. ,
  • 14', Ramos E. 🟨,
  • 20', Mena Y. 🟨,
  • 28', Ribonetto W. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Ramos C. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Arias A. , Guzman L. ,
  • 46', Ramos E. , Lazo M. ,
  • 46', Sernaque J. , Aoki A. ,
  • 47', Ampuero A. 🟨,
  • 49', Liza P. 🟨,
  • 58', Martinez T. , Castro F. ,
  • 62', Escobar J. , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 64', Lliuya M. , Oliva E. ,
  • 72', Tandazo W. , Vivanco P. ,
  • 77', Llontop M. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 79', Ynamine P. 🟨,
  • 83', Guzman L. 🟨,
  • 84', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Aoki A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Aoki A. , Vasquez Ortega E. O. ,
  • 90+11', Lazo M. 🟨,
  • 90+12', 1 - 1, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
25.7%
Draw
27.8%
FBC Melgar
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 25.3% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 25.2% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.63
    (3.6)
    3.38
    (3.7)
    2.01
    (1.92)
    6.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - FBC Melgar?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Melgar will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Universidad (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 2).
    • Alianza Universidad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Melgar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alianza Universidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Melgar is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C. (Knee Injury) Cuesta B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco761011:3819
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7Cienciano933314:12212
    8Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    9Los Chankas840412:20-812
    10Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    11Alianza Atl82426:3310
    12Grau831411:11010
    13Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    14AD Tarma83148:12-410
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys91264:12-85
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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