Result
2:1
19/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 7
- Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (362/441) | 59% (129/217) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 52 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (362/441) | 59% (129/217) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (37/66) | 31% (20/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (98/148) | 42% (22/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 52% (14/27) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', Kadile J. 🟨,
- 24', Jacobs Jo. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Rottier E. ⚽, Bal J. (A),
- 32', Sam A. 🟨,
- 36', Huisman B. 🟨,
- 38', 2 - 0, Peupion C. ⚽, de Ruijter I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', de Nijs O. ↓, Rijkhoff J. ↑,
- 46', Kadile J. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
- 53', Waem M. 🟨,
- 61', Rottier E. ↓, Reischl L. ↑,
- 61', Hokke M. ↓, Tomas D. ↑,
- 64', Sam A. ↓, van Gom J. ↑,
- 65', Huisman B. ↓, Druijf F. ↑,
- 65', de Haan M. ↓, el Dahri H. ↑,
- 72', Bal J. ↓, Silva-Richards R. ↑,
- 76', Peupion C. ↓, van Mieghem D. ↑,
- 79', Bijleveld T. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
- 84', Providence R. 🟥,
- 86', Kilo J. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
- 86', van der Sloot S. ↓, Kreekels M. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Jacobs Jo. ⚽, Cornelisse E. (A),
- 90+4', van Gom J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ADO Den Haag 72.1% | Draw 16.6% | Almere City 11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADO Den Haag's performance.Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almere City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-28.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADO Den Haag that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+19.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ADO Den Haag - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.49 ↓ (2.19) |
6.69 ↑ (3.75) |
10.14 ↑ (2.96) |
-8% (6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag - Almere City?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Almere City will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Haag: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Den Haag (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): ADO Den Haag will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 3.
- Den Haag is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Almere City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Den Haag is considered a favorite.
- There are questionable in Den Haag: Sylla S.
(Injury)
- We predict that Den Haag will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 2.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Den Haag won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has ADO Den Haag won against Almere City?
ADO Den Haag has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against ADO Den Haag?
Almere City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADO Den Haag - Almere City were as follows:
04.09.2024
ADO Den Haag
-
Almere City
2:1
16.04.2023
ADO Den Haag
-
Almere City
2:3
11.12.2022
Almere City
-
ADO Den Haag
4:1
Latest results of ADO Den Haag
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )