Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 11
- Referee: Sanchez R. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (311/384) | 81% (338/415) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (311/384) | 81% (338/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/46) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (62/101) | 63% (48/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Lopy D. 🟨,
- 43', Calatrava A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mabil A. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
- 58', Melamed N. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
- 59', Soko P. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Chirino D. ⚽, Arribas S. (A),
- 65', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 71', Calatrava A. ↓, De Nipoti T. ↑,
- 71', Barri ↓, Doue M. ↑,
- 71', Leo Baptistao ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 81', Lopy D. ↓, Clua S. ↑,
- 81', Arribas S. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
- 81', Ruiz S. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
- 90', Brignani F. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yy43fndr
Chances of winning
Almería
48.5% | Draw
25.5% | Castellón
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Almería - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.81) |
3.72 ↓
(3.82) |
3.62 ↓
(4.1) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Almería - Castellón?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 58% – 94.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 16).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Almería may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Almería could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Almería: Clua S.
(Injury)
Horta A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Gil O.
(Injury)
Jimenez A.
(Red Card)
Ronaldo
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Almería: Baba I.
(Injury)
Chumi
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Castellón: Sienra A.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Almería won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 2:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Castellón?
Almería has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Almería?
Castellón has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Castellón were as follows:
18.04.2025
Castellón
-
Almería
4:1
16.09.2024
Almería
-
Castellón
2:5
Latest results of Almería
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 51:33 | 18 | 47 |
| 2 | Castellon | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 42:25 | 17 | 45 |
| 3 | Dep. La Coruna | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
| 4 | Almeria | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 47:36 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Malaga | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:24 | 4 | 39 |
| 8 | Gijon | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 38 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Cadiz CF | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Albacete | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | Leganes | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27:25 | 2 | 32 |
| 14 | Eibar | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Granada CF | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 26:29 | -3 | 29 |
| 16 | Andorra | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:31 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Huesca | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26:40 | -14 | 25 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 22:38 | -16 | 23 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25:42 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
