Result
2:0
02/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 33
- Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (281/345) | 82% (358/435) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (281/345) | 82% (358/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (88/126) | 68% (53/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Dzodic S. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Ronaldo ⚽,
- 38', Ronaldo 🟨,
- 45+1', Alcazar L. ↓, Tincho ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodrigo Ely ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
- 54', Bonini F. 🟨,
- 56', Ronaldo ↓, Doue M. ↑,
- 59', Soko P. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
- 67', Leo Baptistao ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
- 74', Arribas S. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
- 74', Dzodic S. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
- 75', Tincho 🟨,
- 76', Horta A. 🟨,
- 77', Chirino D. 🟨,
- 84', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 84', Jakobsen A. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 84', Calatrava A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 89', Tincho 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 0, Santiago P. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2s3vtb4p
Chances of winning
Castellón
48.9% | Draw
24.8% | Almería
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellón's form might have worsened.Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almería, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castellón - Almería Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.73) |
3.79 ↓
(4.08) |
3.56 ↓
(4.22) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Castellón - Almería?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Almería will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 27.4% – 68.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Castellón is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Almería is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Castellón could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Cipenga B.
(International duty)
Gerenabarrena B.
(Red Card)
Mabil A.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Almería: Gui Guedes
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Castellón: Sienra A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Almería: Luna M.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Almería?
Castellón has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Castellón?
Almería has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Almería were as follows:
26.10.2025
Almería
-
Castellón
1:0
18.04.2025
Castellón
-
Almería
4:1
16.09.2024
Almería
-
Castellón
2:5
Latest results of Castellón
Latest results of Almería
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 35 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 72:54 | 18 | 65 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 53:38 | 15 | 61 |
| 3 | Almeria | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 67:52 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Malaga | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 58:41 | 17 | 60 |
| 5 | Burgos CF | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 60 |
| 6 | Castellon | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 58:43 | 15 | 58 |
| 7 | Las Palmas | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 45:30 | 15 | 57 |
| 8 | Eibar | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 54 |
| 9 | Andorra | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 51:47 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Gijon | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 45:44 | 1 | 49 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42:55 | -13 | 49 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:52 | -5 | 48 |
| 13 | Granada CF | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 14 | Albacete | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 44:47 | -3 | 44 |
| 15 | Leganes | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 40:38 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 45:50 | -5 | 41 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:47 | -8 | 39 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 38 |
| 19 | Zaragoza | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Huesca | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 35:53 | -18 | 33 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 37:56 | -19 | 33 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 31:56 | -25 | 32 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
