Penafiel vs Alverca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Penafiel - Alverca
Result
3:2
08/03/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 25
  • Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
155
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
112
Corner Kicks
122
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
1413
Offsides
01
Fouls
1514
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
2816

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Batista D. , Olamilekan Fatai S. (A),
  • 4', Maga 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 1, Ageu E. ,
  • 19', Shinga K. 🟨,
  • 37', Gustavo Fernandes 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Maga ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 2, Joao Marcos , Ageu E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Andrezinho , Mendonca I. ,
  • 62', Shinga K. , Thauan Lara ,
  • 64', Reko 🟨,
  • 65', Batista D. , Suker H. ,
  • 67', Thauan Lara 🟨,
  • 73', Joao Bravim 🟨,
  • 73', Brenner , Reinaldo ,
  • 75', Gustavo Fernandes , Ze Leite ,
  • 79', 3 - 2, Reko , Rodrigues T. (A),
  • 84', Rodrigues T. , Ewerton ,
  • 84', Silva A. , Brito D. ,
  • 84', Olamilekan Fatai S. , Pereira B. ,
  • 85', Dias R. , Pedro Bicalho ,
  • 85', Varela F. , Bukia A. ,

Chances of winning


Penafiel
28.1%
Draw
29.2%
Alverca
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 29.9% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 29.3% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Penafiel - Alverca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (3.09)
    3.19
    (3.09)
    2.18
    (2.3)
    7.5%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Penafiel - Alverca?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
    • Penafiel is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Alverca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Alverca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Alverca will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Alverca were as follows:
    12.10.2024 Alverca - Penafiel 2:2
    Latest results of Penafiel
    02.03.2025 Leiria - Penafiel 1:0
    21.02.2025 Penafiel - Portimonense 3:0
    16.02.2025 Porto B - Penafiel 3:2
    01.02.2025 Tondela - Penafiel 2:0
    Latest results of Alverca
    01.03.2025 Alverca - Mafra 2:0
    23.02.2025 Leixões - Alverca 1:1
    16.02.2025 Alverca - Marítimo 5:0
    02.02.2025 Alverca - Leiria 2:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3