Result
3:0
26/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 31
- Referee: Lopes V. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Reko 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Reko (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+11', Pedro Sa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Mere J. ↓, Miguel J. ↑,
- 59', Bras G. ↓, Lima B. ↑,
- 59', Henrique Kaio ↓, Pereira Y. ↑,
- 67', Schutte R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
- 67', Santos A. ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
- 70', Teixeira J. ↓, Fernandes F. ↑,
- 71', Andrade T. ↓, Ferreira E. ↑,
- 75', Pedro Sa ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 0, Ze Leite ⚽,
- 78', Sousa G. ↓, Cunha D. ↑,
- 78', Melnichenko T. ↓, Cassama A. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 0, Ze Leite ⚽,
- 82', Reko ↓, Alloh T. ↑,
- 82', Pereira B. ↓, Moreira C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Penafiel
46.3% | Draw
28.2% | Porto B
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penafiel's performance.Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Penafiel - Porto B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.27) |
3.31 ↑
(3.27) |
3.65 ↑
(3.08) |
7.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Porto B?
Users Predictions:
Penafiel will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Penafiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Penafiel could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Porto B?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto B won against Penafiel?
Porto B has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Porto B were as follows:
12.12.2025
Porto B
-
Penafiel
1:0
16.02.2025
Porto B
-
Penafiel
3:2
15.09.2024
Penafiel
-
Porto B
1:1
30.03.2024
Porto B
-
Penafiel
3:1
11.11.2023
Penafiel
-
Porto B
3:2
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 50:40 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Feirense | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 42 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 35 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
